National Weather Service Warnings

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Roy Spencer

• newNo, Climatologists Did Not “Forget the Sun Was Shining”
  Lord Christopher Monckton is a talented mathematician, and there are many things on which we agree. But it is unhelpful to the skeptical response to claims of a supposed climate emergency to be chasing rabbits down holes when others have already gone…
  - 4 hours ago 4 Oct 22, 2:33pm -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2022: +0.24 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2022 was +0.24 deg. C, down slightly from the August, 2022 value of +0.28 deg. C. The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+…
  - 1 day ago 3 Oct 22, 12:25pm -
• After Hurricane Ian: No Trend in Florida Landfalls, Global Activity Trending Down
  With Hurricane Ian (now a tropical storm) exiting the east coast of Florida, there is no shortage of news reports tying this storm to climate change. Even if those claims actually include data to support their case, those data are usually for cherry-…
  - 5 days ago 29 Sep 22, 4:04pm -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for August, 2022: +0.28 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for August, 2022 was +0.28 deg. C, down from the July, 2022 value of +0.36 deg. C. The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade…
  - 33 days ago 1 Sep 22, 4:39pm -
• Lake Mead Low Water Levels, Part 2: Colorado River Inflow Variations and Trend
  Key Points Contrary to claims that drought is causing Lake Mead water levels to fall, the Colorado River natural flows into Lake Mead show no long-term trend since 1930. Decadal time scale variations in river flow do occur, though, related to the Pac…
  - 39 days ago 26 Aug 22, 2:15pm -
• Lake Mead Low Water Levels: Overuse, Not Climate Change
  UPDATED: Fixed Bureau of Reclamation study link, added Colorado River basin snowpack graph and discussion. In today’s news is yet another article claiming the record-low water levels in Lake Mead (a manmade water reservoir) are due to human-caused…
  - 41 days ago 24 Aug 22, 1:56pm -
• ENSO Impact on the Declining CO2 Sink Rate
  SUMMARY: A simple time-dependent CO2 budget model shows that yearly anthropogenic emissions compared to Mauna Loa CO2 measurements gives a declining CO2 sink rate, which if continued would increase atmospheric CO2 concentrations and presumably anthro…
  - 56 days ago 9 Aug 22, 6:34pm -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for July, 2022: +0.36 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for July, 2022 was +0.36 deg. C, up from the June, 2022 value of +0.06 deg. C.   The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade…
  - 63 days ago 2 Aug 22, 12:23pm -
• Updated Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Forecast through 2050 and Beyond
  Summary The simple CO2 budget model I introduced in 2019 is updated with the latest Mauna Loa measurements of atmospheric CO2 and with new Energy Information Administration estimates of global CO2 emissions through 2050. The model suggests that atmos…
  - 78 days ago 18 Jul 22, 4:31pm -
• James Webb Space Telescope 1st Image: It Blows Hubble Space Telescope Away
  There was no way to tell from yesterday’s White House press conference release of the first JWST “sea of galaxies” image whether it was any better or different from Hubble Space Telescope (HST) views of the same region. In my opinion, this was…
  - 84 days ago 12 Jul 22, 10:07am -

University of Reading

• newOutlook For The Upcoming UK Winter
  By: Christopher O’Reilly In this post I discuss the outlook for the 2022/23 winter from a UK perspective: what do the forecasts predict and what physical drivers might influence the upcoming winter?  An important winter  The price of utilities ha…
  - 20 hours ago 3 Oct 22, 11:01pm -
• Weather vs. Climate Prediction
  By: Annika Reintges Imagine you are planning a birthday party in 2 weeks. You might check the weather forecast for that date to decide whether you can gather outside for a barbeque, or whether you should reserve a table in … Continue reading →
  - 23 days ago 12 Sep 22, 5:26am -
• Monitoring Climate Change From Space
  Richard Allan It’s never been more crucial to undertake a full medical check-up for planet Earth, and satellite instruments provide an essential technological tool for monitoring the pace of climate change, the driving forces and the impacts on soc…
  - 30 days ago 5 Sep 22, 5:10am -
• The Turbulent Life Of Clouds
  By: Thorwald Stein It’s been a tough summer for rain enthusiasts in Southern England, with the region having just recorded its driest July on record. But, there was no shortage of cloud: there will have been the slight probability of … Continue r…
  - 58 days ago 8 Aug 22, 5:24am -
• How would climate-change science look if it was structured “as if people mattered”?
  By Ted Shepherd The scientific understanding of climate change is represented by the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), most recently its Sixth Assessment Report. IPCC Working Groups II and III deal respective…
  - 65 days ago 1 Aug 22, 6:00am -
• Modelling Convection In The Maritime Continent
  By: Steve Woolnough The Maritime Continent, the archipelago, including Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Papua New Guinea is made up of hundreds of islands of varying shapes and sizes. It lies in some of the warmest waters on Earth and … Con…
  - 72 days ago 25 Jul 22, 5:32am -
• What Is The World Climate Research Programme And Why Do We Need It?
  By: Rowan Sutton My schedule last week was rather awry.  Over four days I took part in a meeting of 50 or so climate scientists from around the world.  Because of the need to span multiple time zones, the session … Continue reading →
  - 79 days ago 18 Jul 22, 5:37am -
• The Golden Age Of Radar
  By: Rob Thompson One of the most frequently viewed pages on weather apps is the radar imagery. We see them on apps, websites and TV forecasts, and have done for years. But rarely do we see much about what we … Continue reading →
  - 86 days ago 11 Jul 22, 5:17am -
• Density Surfaces In The Oceans
  By: Remi Tailleux Below the mixed layer, shielded from direct interaction with the atmosphere, ocean fluid parcels are only slowly modified by turbulent mixing processes and become strongly constrained to move along density surfaces of some kind, cal…
  - 93 days ago 4 Jul 22, 5:30am -
• Is Europe At Risk From Hurricanes?
  By: Reinhard Schiemann Growing up in Europe late last century, I would have been a little surprised at this question, and my knee-jerk answer would have been a firm no: hurricanes happened on TV in far-away tropical places, bending and … Continue r…
  - 100 days ago 27 Jun 22, 5:39am -