National Weather Service Warnings

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Roy Spencer

• ENSO Impact on the Declining CO2 Sink Rate
  SUMMARY: A simple time-dependent CO2 budget model shows that yearly anthropogenic emissions compared to Mauna Loa CO2 measurements gives a declining CO2 sink rate, which if continued would increase atmospheric CO2 concentrations and presumably anthro…
  - 9 days ago 9 Aug 22, 6:34pm -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for July, 2022: +0.36 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for July, 2022 was +0.36 deg. C, up from the June, 2022 value of +0.06 deg. C.   The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade…
  - 16 days ago 2 Aug 22, 12:23pm -
• Updated Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Forecast through 2050 and Beyond
  Summary The simple CO2 budget model I introduced in 2019 is updated with the latest Mauna Loa measurements of atmospheric CO2 and with new Energy Information Administration estimates of global CO2 emissions through 2050. The model suggests that atmos…
  - 31 days ago 18 Jul 22, 4:31pm -
• James Webb Space Telescope 1st Image: It Blows Hubble Space Telescope Away
  There was no way to tell from yesterday’s White House press conference release of the first JWST “sea of galaxies” image whether it was any better or different from Hubble Space Telescope (HST) views of the same region. In my opinion, this was…
  - 37 days ago 12 Jul 22, 10:07am -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for June 2022: +0.06 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2022 was +0.06 deg. C, down (again) from the May, 2022 value of +0.17 deg. C. Tropical Coolness The tropical (20N-20S) anomaly for June was -0.36 deg. C, which is th…
  - 48 days ago 1 Jul 22, 3:36pm -
• EV’s Fossil Fuel Economy No Better than ICE Vehicles
  …But the price per mile of EVs energy use is cheaper for the time being ($2 per gallon of gas equivalent) Most of the electricity generated in the U.S. continues to come from fossil fuels (61% in 2021). This is not likely to change much in the futu…
  - 62 days ago 17 Jun 22, 3:02pm -
• The NASA TROPICS Mission: Monitoring Tropical Cyclones with a Fleet of Small Microwave Radiometers
  As early as today at noon EDT an Astra rocket will launch the first two of six small CubeSats into tropical orbits at 550 km altitude from Cape Canaveral (video coverage here). Those satellites, named the TROPICS mission, will carry microwave radiome…
  - 67 days ago 12 Jun 22, 1:15pm -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for May, 2022: +0.17 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for May, 2022 was +0.17 deg. C, down from the April, 2022 value of +0.26 deg. C. The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade ov…
  - 78 days ago 1 Jun 22, 11:44am -
• UAH Global Temperature Update for April, 2022: +0.26 deg. C
  The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for April, 2022 was +0.26 deg. C, up from the March, 2022 value of +0.15 deg. C. The linear warming trend since January, 1979 still stands at +0.13 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade ov…
  - 2 May 22, 12:25pm -
• Explaining Mauna Loa CO2 Increases with Anthropogenic and Natural Influences
  SUMMARY The proper way of looking for causal relationships between time series data (e.g. between atmospheric CO2 and temperature) is discussed. While statistical analysis alone is unlikely to provide “proof” of causation, use of the ‘master eq…
  - 9 Apr 22, 3:44pm -

University of Reading

• The Turbulent Life Of Clouds
  By: Thorwald Stein It’s been a tough summer for rain enthusiasts in Southern England, with the region having just recorded its driest July on record. But, there was no shortage of cloud: there will have been the slight probability of … Continue r…
  - 10 days ago 8 Aug 22, 5:24am -
• How would climate-change science look if it was structured “as if people mattered”?
  By Ted Shepherd The scientific understanding of climate change is represented by the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), most recently its Sixth Assessment Report. IPCC Working Groups II and III deal respective…
  - 17 days ago 1 Aug 22, 6:00am -
• Modelling Convection In The Maritime Continent
  By: Steve Woolnough The Maritime Continent, the archipelago, including Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Papua New Guinea is made up of hundreds of islands of varying shapes and sizes. It lies in some of the warmest waters on Earth and … Con…
  - 24 days ago 25 Jul 22, 5:32am -
• What Is The World Climate Research Programme And Why Do We Need It?
  By: Rowan Sutton My schedule last week was rather awry.  Over four days I took part in a meeting of 50 or so climate scientists from around the world.  Because of the need to span multiple time zones, the session … Continue reading →
  - 31 days ago 18 Jul 22, 5:37am -
• The Golden Age Of Radar
  By: Rob Thompson One of the most frequently viewed pages on weather apps is the radar imagery. We see them on apps, websites and TV forecasts, and have done for years. But rarely do we see much about what we … Continue reading →
  - 38 days ago 11 Jul 22, 5:17am -
• Density Surfaces In The Oceans
  By: Remi Tailleux Below the mixed layer, shielded from direct interaction with the atmosphere, ocean fluid parcels are only slowly modified by turbulent mixing processes and become strongly constrained to move along density surfaces of some kind, cal…
  - 45 days ago 4 Jul 22, 5:30am -
• Is Europe At Risk From Hurricanes?
  By: Reinhard Schiemann Growing up in Europe late last century, I would have been a little surprised at this question, and my knee-jerk answer would have been a firm no: hurricanes happened on TV in far-away tropical places, bending and … Continue r…
  - 52 days ago 27 Jun 22, 5:39am -
• Forecasting Rapid Intensification In Hurricanes And Typhoons.
  By: Peter Jan Leeuwen We all know the devastating power of hurricanes, typhoons, and their Southern Hemisphere counterparts. It is crucial that we predict their behaviour accurately to avoid loss of life and to better guide large-scale infrastructure…
  - 59 days ago 20 Jun 22, 5:31am -
• A Different Kind Of Turbulence
  By Miguel Teixeira It might be thought that turbulence is essentially the same everywhere. However, its mixing efficiency depends not only on its intensity (as might be expected intuitively), but also on more subtle properties, such as its anisotropy…
  - 66 days ago 13 Jun 22, 5:35am -
• What are the challenges in forecasting the impacts of tropical cyclones?
  By: Liz Stephens Last year I joined the Meteorology department in a joint-post between the University of Reading and the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre (RCCC), but I still suspect most people have no idea exactly what it is … Continue readin…
  - 80 days ago 30 May 22, 6:45am -