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Armstrong Economics

  • newPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Voted Out in Israel
    Israel’s 120-member Knesset voted to swear in a new government Sunday, ending the historic 12-year rule of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The new prime minister is Naftali Bennett, who is considered to be a Far-right politician. AS we head into…
    - 5 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 8:45pm -
  • newBBC Just Admits 50% of Deaths Include Vaccinated People!
      What is really going on behind these vaccines? The BBC reported the statistic of the new Delta variant of COVID and 50% of the deaths are people who had already been vaccinated. As I have warned, this virus may not have been intended to create a g…
    - 13 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 12:24pm -
  • newSinging Parrot & Animals
      Animals are fascinating. I have noticed with my dog she is very smart and she will communicate with her eyes. She gets a certain look and I know she is ready to play. Then a friend has a newborn and she was so gentle with it that there was a clear…
    - 21 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 4:06am -
  • newG7 Moving to Destroy Economy & Democracy
      The G7 meeting +1 (EU) met in Cornwall in southwest England. The London Financial Times, which has openly come out and advocated the Great Reset, reported that “Joe Biden has won support at the G7 summit for a ‘carry on spending’ plan, as we…
    - 22 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 4:01am -
  • Selling the Invisible
    OK, an Italian Artist sold an invisible statute for over $18,000 you can never see or touch. The buyer was given a certificate that he bought something that is not in this physical world. I suppose I can sell you a cure for COVID without any injectio…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 4:09am -
  • Interview with Karl Marx
       The post Interview with Karl Marx first appeared on Armstrong Economics.
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 4:05am -
  • Market Talk – June 11, 2021
    ASIA: Didi Chuxing, China’s biggest ride-hailing firm, on Thursday, made public the filing for its long-anticipated U.S. stock market listing, setting the stage for what is expected to be the world’s biggest initial public offering this year. The…
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 3:05pm -
  • Who Do you Trust More? Dr Pepper or Dr Fauci?

    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 4:09am -
  • May 8th – the Turning Point & the Crack in Confidence
    I have been warning that since 1999, there has been a shift in government where the UNELECTED bureaucrats seek to take over the country. I have warned that in my opinion, Trump was naive thinking that being president meant you really were in charge.…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 4:07am -
  • Paul v Facui
      I can confirm from other sources that there are gain-of-function viruses that have a far higher mortality rate. I can also confirm that there have been experiments in tailoring such things to attack only specific ethnic groups which is far more in…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 4:03am -

The Market Ticker

  • The Market Ticker - Notes from the Yellowstone Half...
    Do not tell runners that there is a "major" hill with a 200' elevation climb when it's REALLY 350'.  Yeah that's not the same.  My mismanagement of it and what it did to my time was my fault but still I'd have appreciated fair warning.Don't claim t…
    - 1 day ago 12 Jun 21, 6:56pm -
  • The Market Ticker - 9/11 Eh? Sorry, Own Goals Don't Count
    Oh Chris..... CHRIS!Federal agents are investigating about 100 different types of ransomware, FBI Director Christopher Wray revealed in a new interview, in which he compared the security challenges posed by cyberthreats to the terror threat of 9/11…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 11:58am -
  • The Market Ticker - Psycho? Only In Oregon
    Psychedelic 8*10 $108  
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 4:00pm -
  • The Market Ticker - RLI Interview - Come And Get It!
    Another excellent discussion with the folks at RLI on all things economic.These folks are always worth listening to, and these segments are no exception.  Dennis is fantastic.Come on over and check it out!Rent moratoriums are coming to an end.  W…
    - 3 days ago 10 Jun 21, 3:56pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Yes, Bush Too....
    Tell me again about "Bush" and how wonderful that dynastic, pig-headed family are...The George H.W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations agreed to accept $5 million from a group with ties to the Chinese Communist Party and China's international…
    - 4 days ago 10 Jun 21, 11:00am -
  • The Market Ticker - Housing Inflation? Buy Half A House
    I thought I'd seen stupid but no, they keep coming up with better and better idiots.A coalition of seven Democratic senators formally announced the “California Dream for All” program last week as part of a larger budget proposal they want Gov.…
    - 5 days ago 9 Jun 21, 1:00pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Don't Change What You Eat
    This is crazyland, but it's what we've turned into.The US Food and Drug Administration has approved an injectable diabetes drug for long-term weight control."This under-the-skin injection is the first approved drug for chronic weight management in ad…
    - 5 days ago 9 Jun 21, 12:55pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Ha Ha Ha -- Big shock
    But but but -- everyone is going back to work!No they're not.  I've posted this out for quite some time and it's not new either. Now Tim Knight has brought it up too with a couple of interesting charts to go with it.David Stockman, one of the hero…
    - 5 days ago 9 Jun 21, 1:23am -
  • The Market Ticker - Drop It
    Drip Drop $90 12*16  
    - 5 days ago 8 Jun 21, 4:00pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Caught Lying AGAIN: 'Russia-Russia-Russia'
    Well well look what we have here.The FBI "recovered" most of the Colonial cryptojack ransom payment.How?They served a seizure warrant on an exchange in the United States.Which had the bitcoin at it.Which means it wasn't Russia-Russia-Russia, was i…
    - 6 days ago 8 Jun 21, 9:36am -

Wolf Street

Dollar Collapse

  • newTop Ten Videos — June 13
    Wall Street Silver: “Welcome to the jungle” … Robert Kyosaki: You need an escape plan with untraceable wealth … Ronni Stoeferle: Why $5,000 gold is in the cards … Russell Brand: They’re lying to you about the pandemic … Doug Casey: Utte…
    - 9 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 4:24pm -
  • Breaking News/Best Of The Web
    Everyone knows the Fed will stop tapering as soon as the S&P drops 10% … Real interest rates suggest it’s a good time to buy and hold gold … Junk bond yields drop to record low, dish out negative “real” yields … Explosive inflation leads…
    - 1 day ago 13 Jun 21, 1:14am -
  • Marin Katusa: For Gold Miners, Cash is King
    From Katusa Research: Since the start of the year, central banks have purchased over 4 million ounces of gold. April was a big month for central bank activity. Over half the amount of gold purchased in 2021 was in the month of April alone. In April,…
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 10:01pm -
  • Michael Pento: The Fed’s Tools Are Broken
    From Pento Portfolio Strategies:  The U.S. central bank has metastasized from an institution that was originally designed to assist distressed banks, to one that believes its purview now includes perpetuating asset bubbles, fighting global warming a…
    - 6 days ago 8 Jun 21, 2:40am -
  • Top Ten Videos — June 6
    George Gammon: The coming collapse in cryptocurrencies … Peter Schiff: The US dollar is a meme currency … Lynette Zang: Basel III would be the death of the paper gold market … Chris Martenson: Fauci lied, people died … Frank Holmes: Gold is g…
    - 7 days ago 6 Jun 21, 5:11pm -
  • Charts For A Crazy World: Hot Money Spawns Weird Trends
    This is a time of almost supernaturally-easy money. US financial conditions, in fact, have never been this accommodative, which is why junk bonds, CLOs, NTFs, cryptos, and meme stocks have been able to attract so much hot money. But the velocity of m…
    - 8 days ago 6 Jun 21, 12:20am -
  • Top Ten Videos — May 30
    Max Keiser: Dumb money is the new smart money … Willem Middelkoop: Currency debasement can’t be ignored any longer … Rick Rule: Big gold miners will have to buy the juniors … Alasdair Macleod: Basel III will end gold market manipulation … G…
    - 14 days ago 30 May 21, 5:23pm -
  • CLOs Join The Everything Bubble
    The “Everything Bubble” has jumped from hyperbole to literal truth in just a couple of years, as more and more assets enter “crazy expensive/extremely reckless” territory. The latest addition to the list is collateralized loan obligations (CL…
    - 16 days ago 29 May 21, 12:01am -
  • ONLINE EVENT: What’s Coming Next For The Markets?
    Sponsored: Record P/Es. Spiking inflation. Rising yields. Hear Lacy Hunt, Grant Williams, Stephanie Pomboy & other greats predict what’s ahead for investors. Click here to learn more about this can’t-miss event that will answer today’s burning…
    - 16 days ago 28 May 21, 4:06pm -
  • The Real Point Of Cryptocurrencies Is Not Their Price
    The Wall Street Journal recently posted an email conversation between columnist Andy Kessler and billionaire Mark Cuban in which Cuban explains the real point of cryptocurrencies. Hint: It has nothing to do with the price of bitcoin or ethereum. Mark…
    - 18 days ago 26 May 21, 8:30pm -

ClusterStock

Money Game

International Business Times

Sovereign Man

Investment Watch

Daily Reckoning

  • How Fanatics Took Over the World

    How Fanatics Took Over the World

    This post How Fanatics Took Over the World appeared first on Daily Reckoning.“As with most every revolution in history, a small minority of crazy people with a cause prevailed over the humane rationality of multitudes”…The post How Fanatics T…
    - 4 days ago 9 Jun 21, 7:23pm -
  • Janet Yellen’s at It Again

    Janet Yellen’s at It Again

    This post Janet Yellen’s at It Again appeared first on Daily Reckoning.How is inflation good for society?… Higher interest rates in certain cases are indications of a healthy economy… The Fed has killed the bond market…The post Janet Yellen…
    - 5 days ago 8 Jun 21, 10:11pm -
  • Looks Like Jim Rickards Was Right

    Looks Like Jim Rickards Was Right

    This post Looks Like Jim Rickards Was Right appeared first on Daily Reckoning.“The most compelling reason to favor the lab leak hypothesis is firmly based in science”…The post Looks Like Jim Rickards Was Right appeared first on Daily Reckonin…
    - 6 days ago 7 Jun 21, 11:00pm -
  • Should the Minimum Wage Be $18?

    Should the Minimum Wage Be $18?

    This post Should the Minimum Wage Be $18? appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Here at The Daily Reckoning, we take a dim view of price controls, including minimum wage laws. They cause more harm than good. But today Charles Hugh Smith shows you why, i…
    - 8 days ago 5 Jun 21, 10:41pm -
  • Lockdowns Worked!

    Lockdowns Worked!

    This post Lockdowns Worked! appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Today we discuss the lockdowns and their deeper socioeconomic effects. Since we lack all credentials in the relevant sciences, we rely extensively upon the research of others (carefully c…
    - 10 days ago 3 Jun 21, 10:27pm -
  • Do You Really Understand Inflation?

    Do You Really Understand Inflation?

    This post Do You Really Understand Inflation? appeared first on Daily Reckoning.What inflation is, and what it isn’t…The true inflation rate…The post Do You Really Understand Inflation? appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 11 days ago 2 Jun 21, 10:17pm -
  • The Fed’s Sneaky Plot

    The Fed’s Sneaky Plot

    This post The Fed’s Sneaky Plot appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of price stability and maximum unemployment. But today, Charles Hugh Smith shows you the Fed’s real mandate, and warns about its coming powe…
    - 15 days ago 29 May 21, 11:06pm -
  • ‘Heads You Win, Tails You Don’t Lose’

    ‘Heads You Win, Tails You Don’t Lose’


    - 16 days ago 28 May 21, 7:29pm -
  • REVEALED: Biden’s 2022 Budget

    REVEALED: Biden’s 2022 Budget

    This post REVEALED: Biden’s 2022 Budget appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The federal government would ladle out $6 trillion in fiscal year 2022. Annual portions would expand to $8.2 trillion by 2031.The post REVEALED: Biden’s 2022 Budget appea…
    - 17 days ago 27 May 21, 7:45pm -
  • Peak America

    Peak America

    This post Peak America appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The fleeting fancies of the market, its momentary moods, its passing passions, hold little fascination for us.The post Peak America appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 18 days ago 26 May 21, 7:36pm -

Jim Rogers Blog

of two minds

  • The Fed Is Wrong: Inflation Is Sticky
    The Fed's god-like powers will be revealed for what they really are: artifice and illusion. The Fed will be proven catastrophically wrong about inflation for the simple reason that inflation isn't transitory, it's sticky: when prices rise due to rea…
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 4:50pm -
  • The Sources of Rip-Your-Face-Off Inflation Few Dare Discuss
    We're getting a real-world economics lesson in rip-your-face-off increases in prices, and the tuition is about to go up--way up. Inflation will be transitory, blah-blah-blah--I beg to differ, for these reasons.There are numerous structural sources…
    - 5 days ago 9 Jun 21, 2:49am -
  • Post-Pandemic Metamorphosis: Never Going Back
    People caught on that the returns on the frenzied hamster wheel of "normal" have been diminishing for decades, but everyone was too busy to notice. The superficial "return to normal" narrative focuses solely on first order effects:now that people c…
    - 7 days ago 7 Jun 21, 3:52am -
  • A Couple Things About Inflation
    The higher they push phantom "assets" based on exponential increases in leverage, the greater the air gap between essential tangibles and fantasy. Inflation is in the news, but there are a couple of things about inflation that don't get much coverag…
    - 9 days ago 4 Jun 21, 7:44pm -
  • (Not) Living Large on Social Security
    For about 1 in 4, Social Security provides at least 90 percent of their income. How many retired workers are getting less than $1,000 per month in Social Security benefits?The question came up and I was curious enough to find the answer, and download…
    - 11 days ago 2 Jun 21, 6:25pm -
  • Why the Minimum Wage Should Be $18/Hour
    What does it say about our "prosperity" if we can't even afford to equal the purchasing power of the minimum wage paid 50 years ago? It says the 1% got the mine and the bottom 90% got the shaft. Given the rising prosperity we keep hearing about, shou…
    - 14 days ago 31 May 21, 4:54am -
  • Increasingly Chaotic Volatility Ahead--The New Normal Few Think Possible
    That the era of stability has ended and a new era of increasingly chaotic volatility has begun is not on anyone's radar as a possibility. The standard debate about the future of the economy is: which will we get, high inflation or a deflationary c…
    - 15 days ago 29 May 21, 10:02pm -
  • Do We Really Want to Return to "Normal" If "Normal" Is Destroying the Planet?
    Change the incentives, and the outcomes change. Ecologist Howard Odum provided a profound insight into human expansion, stagnation and collapse. He argued that humans are wired to maximize power output (i.e., consumption) rather than maximize effi…
    - 16 days ago 28 May 21, 5:33pm -
  • Systemic Risks Abound
    If you wanted to design a system guaranteed to collapse in a putrid heap, you'd make moral hazard ubiquitous and you'd make the system 100% dependent on a hubris-soaked faux savior. For the past 22 years, every time the stock market whimpered, wheez…
    - 18 days ago 26 May 21, 4:50pm -
  • Fed to Treasury Dealers and Congress: We Can't Count On You, We're Taking Charge
    The Fed sees itself as trapped by the incompetence and greed of the other players and by its own policy extremes that were little more than expedient "saves" of a system that is unraveling due to its fragility and brittleness. . There are two standar…
    - 20 days ago 24 May 21, 5:17pm -

The Big Picture

  • newWho Pays The Price? The Ignorant
      “CDC Ramps Up Research on Highly Contagious Variant from India” The ignorant pay the price. “Lauren Boebert stated there hadn’t been a single COVID-19 death in Texas since mask restrictions ended in March. Data shows thousands had, in fact…
    - 12 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 2:00pm -
  • new10 Sunday AM Reads
    Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • How America Fractured Into Four Parts People in the United States no longer agree on the nation’s purpose, values, history, or meaning. Is reconciliation…
    - 15 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 10:30am -
  • MiB: Brad Stone on Bezos & Amazon
          This week, we speak with Brad Stone, author of the just-published “Amazon Unbound: Jeff Bezos and the Invention of a Global Empire.” Stone is the senior executive editor for technology at Bloomberg News after spending a decade as the tec…
    - 1 day ago 12 Jun 21, 2:30pm -
  • 10 Weekend Reads
    The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish blend coffee, grab a seat on the massage chair, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • There’s a New Vision for Crypto, and It’s Wildly Different From Bitcoin Give Bitcoin some cred…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 10:55am -
  • Deflation, Punctuated by Spasms of Inflation
    The price of batteries has declined by 97% in the last three decades Source: Our World In Data     My perspective on inflation has been well defined: The general Cost of Living has been trending downwards over the past 3 decades, even as global sta…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 1:00pm -
  • 10 Friday AM Reads
    My end of week morning train WFH reads: • MIT Bitcoin Experiment Nets 13,000% Windfall for Students Who Held On. Those who cashed out are left with an expensive lesson in regret: One in ten cashed out in the first two weeks — one in four, by the…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 10:45am -
  • 1938 Talbot Lago T23
    Staying with our theme of open-air driving for the Spring (see this, this, this, this, this, this, this,  this, or this) the Talbot Lago has a fascinating history and a design twist for the cabriolet. Anthony Lago was an Italian engineer and motor-i…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 10:00am -
  • Table Stakes
          Listen to the audio version of this post here   I have troubles with this question: “Why are Job Openings so hard to fill?” It is a misleading question, or to be more precise, a misleading half of a question. Either through dishonesty o…
    - 4 days ago 10 Jun 21, 12:35pm -
  • 10 Thursday AM Reads
    My morning train WFH reads: • Global Investable Assets Reach Record $250 Trillion Financial wealth rose significantly even amid the pandemic. That means asset managers have new opportunities among the high-net-worth and to bring alternatives like p…
    - 4 days ago 10 Jun 21, 10:55am -
  • What Makes Teen Employment Data So Interesting…
        In the midst of a deep dive into employment data, I happened across some off-the-beaten-path analysis of the Teen Labor market: Why Teenage Workers Are Leading the Recovery. Conor Sen makes a few fascinating observations here: “What makes tee…
    - 4 days ago 9 Jun 21, 9:00pm -

Jesse's Cafe Americain

  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Snooze-a-rama - Just Another Day in the Oligarchy
     "A highway will be there, called the holy way; No one unclean may pass over it, but it will be for his people; no traveler, not even fools, shall go astray while on it."Isaiah 35:8 "You are the very cause of your ignorance, yourselves. You put aw…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 2:03am -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Waiting For the Breakout, or Breakdowns
     "And yet wisdom is justified by all her children.” Luke 7:35 "There are people everywhere who want to convince you of the wisdom of their opinion.  It is not the one who declares his viewpoint the most loudly or vociferously who is the wises…
    - 3 days ago 10 Jun 21, 8:14pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Lackluster Trade Ahead of CPI Tomorrow
     Boring trade today, more like mid-Summer than late Spring. Although there are always room for shenanigans and antics intraday. Gold was off a bit.Silver and the Dollar were up a bit.Stocks put in some highs and then faded away into the afternoon…
    - 4 days ago 9 Jun 21, 9:04pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - The Summer Wind
     “There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact.”Arthur Conan Doyle, The Boscombe Valley Mystery  “La plus belle des ruses du diable est de vous persuader qu'il n'existe pas."(The devil's finest trick is to persuade you that he does n…
    - 5 days ago 8 Jun 21, 8:18pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - We're Having a Heat Wave - Temps de Folie
    Stocks were a bit woozy this morning.The SP 500 never really did regain its footing and finished slightly lower.The NDX powered higher led by the biotechs.Gold and silver were up a bit, actually going out near their highs after the morning lows.The D…
    - 6 days ago 7 Jun 21, 9:54pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Jobs Lite - Markets Rebounding on Hopes for Continuing Fed Dovishness
     The Jobs Report came in significantly weaker than expected, and certainly well short of the expansion implied by the ADP Report.But the BLS reports are a funny old thing.And so stocks and the Metals rebounded sharply, and the Dollar took a give bac…
    - 8 days ago 5 Jun 21, 2:57pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
     "The Lord is my light and my salvation –         whom shall I fear?The Lord is the refuge of my life –         of whom shall I be afraid?" Psalm 27 “Imaginary evil is romantic and varied; real evil is gloomy, monotonous, barr…
    - 10 days ago 3 Jun 21, 8:29pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Markets Holding Their Breath Ahead of the Payrolls Report
     “Son of man, these people have set up idols in their hearts.   They hold on tightly to the things that will make them fall into sin.  Should I allow them to inquire from me at all?" Ezekiel 14:3  "And they cried to the mountains and the rock…
    - 10 days ago 3 Jun 21, 3:23pm -
  • Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Back to Work - Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday
     Stocks rallied early on, and then gave it up and finished slightly lower into the close.Gold and silver also rallied and then lost ground into the afternoon.The Dollar traded in a sideways chop.There will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday.Hav…
    - 12 days ago 1 Jun 21, 8:17pm -
  • Memorial Day
    "Four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in Liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation, or…
    - 13 days ago 31 May 21, 5:29pm -

Angry Bear

  • newWeekly Indicators for June 7 – 11 at Seeking Alpha
     – by New Deal democrat Weekly Indicators for June 7 – 11 at Seeking Alpha My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha – Constrained Economy Despite the spike in consumer prices in May, the long term interest rates in mortgages declined…
    - 6 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 7:39pm -
  • newThe spike in inflation is not a concern – yet
    The spike in inflation is not a concern – yet By now you’ve probably already read a fair amount of commentary on yesterday’s consumer inflation report for May. I’m going to cut to the chase as to my take right off the bat: 1. The primary driv…
    - 6 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 7:36pm -
  • newPro and Con of a Virtual Currency
    What are we talking about here? Federal Reserve is taking an initial step towards launching its own virtual currency. The move is disturbing to banks as it gives millions of low-income Americans access to the financial system and fortifies the dollar…
    - 15 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 11:00am -
  • JOLTS
    I am wondering about Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data. The reason is that I am interested in the extremely record high job vacancy rate of 6%, the moderately high unemployment rate of 5.8% and the moderately high hiring rate of 4.2…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 6:55am -
  • Consumer prices up 5.0%, the largest annual increase since 2008
    CPI Rose 0.6% in May on Higher Prices for New and Used Vehicles, Clothing, and Airfares; Now Up 5% Year over Year, MarketWatch666, Commenter RJS The consumer price index rose 0.6% in May, as higher prices for new and used vehicles, clothing, airfare…
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 1:01am -
  • When The Truth Overtakes Politics . . .
    Sharing the truth while speaking to a 100% white and 70% male GOP Pennsylvania legislature body and telling them what is more important. PA Representative Brian Sims takes on the Republican majority in the state House. PA Rep. Brian Sims: “Your boo…
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 8:32pm -
  • Coronavirus dashboard for June 9: the high correlation between partisan lean, vaccination rates, and new cases
    Coronavirus dashboard for June 9: the high correlation between partisan lean, vaccination rates, and new cases No big economic news today, so I wanted to follow up on Monday’s post, in which I described the correlation between the number of new COV…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 11:33am -
  • Global Polls
    Global Polls OK, so I think the nations surveyed are biased, but I have now seen two polls with roughly similar polls.   So Pew, with a larger base and solid credibility has that among foreign nations polls in their nations data set showed an impro…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 11:26am -
  • Open thread June 11, 2021
    The post Open thread June 11, 2021 appeared first on Angry Bear.
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 11:23am -
  • Douthat: democracy, whatever
    Ross Douthat is evidently having trouble filling his column quota.  Or maybe he’s just confused about the role of public intellectuals and the nature of rational decision making. In two recent columns, Douthat suggests that Democrats are excessive…
    - 4 days ago 10 Jun 21, 1:08pm -

The Burning Platform

  • newGOOD MEN

    - 4 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 9:12pm -
  • newAn actual medical journal says whiteness is “a malignant, parasitic-like condition”
    Guest Post by Simon Black Are you ready for this week’s absurdity? Here’s our Friday roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty, risks to your prosperity… and on occasion, inspiring poetic just…
    - 4 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 9:11pm -
  • newDark Pools And Off Market Trading Explained
      Dark pools are private exchanges for trading securities that are not accessible by the investing public. Also known as “dark pools of liquidity,” the name of these exchanges is a reference to their complete lack of transparency. Dark pools ca…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 6:58pm -
  • new2022 Social Security COLA Likely to Evaporate Thanks to This
    Via Birch Gold For this year, Social Security recipients received a 1.3% cost of living adjustment (COLA). Not much, once you consider the economic chaos that happened in 2020. Of course, the COLA is not meant to account for a previous year’s chaos…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 6:40pm -
  • newFixing the Game
    Guest Post by Eric Peters Does it make sense to play by the rules when the rules no longer apply? Well, when they only apply to you? If you own a car, you are forced to “cover” it with an insurance policy that costs what you’d never freely pay…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 6:39pm -
  • newBILL GATES SALAD
    Eat up. pic.twitter.com/Tfxp7Seoas — Cobra Kai Karl (@neverwasKarl) June 13, 2021
    - 7 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 6:38pm -
  • newSUNDAY FUNNIES
    Via Townhall
    - 13 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 12:45pm -
  • newVaccine Euphoria
    Guest Post by Todd Hayen What is all the excitement about? People everywhere celebrating a vax jab with social media pics of their vaccine card, stickers that proudly state “I Got Vaccinated!!” and thumbs up congratulations all around as if the r…
    - 13 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 12:37pm -
  • newWHO Chief Scientist Accused of Suppressing Evidence that Ivermectin Cures Covid
    Guest Post by Paul Craig Roberts Dr. Soumya Swaminathan chief scientist for the World Health Organization, has been charged by the Mumbai-based association of lawyers of “running a disinformation campaign against Ivermectin by deliberate suppressio…
    - 13 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 12:37pm -
  • newSUNDAY MORNING CLASSICS ON TBP
    A collaboration of: “The Classic Music Mafia” nkit, Austrian Peter, and Steve C. Every Sunday morning we present selections for our TBP family to enjoy. We present symphonies, ensembles, quartets, octets, etc. Not all of our music is strictly ‘…
    - 15 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 11:03am -

Silicon Valley Insider

The Wire

War Room

Naked Capitalism

Coyote Blog

  • Trying to Be Compliant in California
    I usually don't quote other blog posts in their entirety, but this is so classic that I feel the need to.  This is from Holden Law Group, an excellent resource we use to try desperately to remain in compliance with California Labor law when such law…
    - 2 days ago 11 Jun 21, 8:49pm -
  • The Trump Business Skill
    Long before he was President, I would tell everyone who listened that one of Trump's two main business skills was to be able to walk out of the (frequent) bankruptcies of his various ventures with far more money/value than one could rightly expect fr…
    - 17 days ago 27 May 21, 11:31pm -
  • Please President Biden, Hire Some Temps for the IRS
    I know most of you (and I as well, most of the time) are perfectly happy to have the IRS just shut down.   Unfortunately, when one runs a business, there are certain things that have to be done through the IRS, particularly when setting up or reorg…
    - 17 days ago 27 May 21, 10:12pm -
  • Masks as Virtue Signaling
    I want to thank David Hogg for this remarkably honest explanation for why he wears a mask when it is completely unneeded. While others may not be doing it strictly to avoid looking Conservative, I do think that many young people wear them because the…
    - 28 days ago 16 May 21, 4:57pm -
  • Business in 2021: Lots of Orders, No Employees, Rising Materials Costs
    This is an excerpt from an email from one of my suppliers.  This is happening everywhere: We are not a company that makes excuses as to quality or service. When things are beyond our control, we will not point fingers and say it's not our fault. How…
    - 37 days ago 7 May 21, 3:56pm -
  • When Regulation Hammers Those It is Supposed to Benefit -- A Real Example in California
    Regulation can be sortof kindof tolerable in stable, predictable, and unchanging markets.  But what markets act like that?  In the labor regulation world, for example, regulatory authorities are doing everything they can to kill a wave of innovatio…
    - 38 days ago 6 May 21, 11:11pm -
  • This is The Best Idea I Have Seen Related to Equity
    There are lots of ways to learn and grow skills and college is just one -- historically, most Americans have gained skills and improved their lives through learning and development in the workplace.  Stop the crazy over-credentialism of work.  Stop…
    - 38 days ago 6 May 21, 1:41pm -
  • Our Personal Liberties Are Now Hostage to the Least Common Denominator of Mental Health
    It is unbelievable we are allowing these people to rule us Here are just some of the restrictions: Everyone at the camp—including staff and every kid over the age of two—must wear masks at all times, unless they are eating or swimming. They shou…
    - 39 days ago 6 May 21, 3:22am -
  • Why Must I Change My Behavior To Protect Those Who Choose Not To Vaccinate?
    We are rapidly approaching the point where people who are unvaccinated are that way because they choose to eschew the vaccine.  Here in AZ, which has had a pretty solid vaccination program, tens of thousands of appointments for *free* vaccinations a…
    - 40 days ago 4 May 21, 5:50pm -
  • Well, It Worked For Bypassing the First Amendment
    CNN: Biden Admin Wants to Outsource Spying on Americans to Private Firms to Bypass Fourth Amendment The Biden administration is considering using private firms to track the online activity of American citizens in order to get around the Fourth Amendm…
    - 40 days ago 4 May 21, 4:28pm -

Deal Breaker

Deal Book

Dr. Housing Bubble

Marc to Market

  • newPositioning and Momentum Trump Interest Rate Considerations
    The US 10-year yield fell last week to its lowest level in three months, and the weekly decline was one of the largest in the past year.  The implied yield of the December 2022 Eurodollar futures contract slipped to almost 33 bp, the lowest level in…
    - 14 hours ago 13 Jun 21, 11:49am -
  • FOMC: Words not Actions
    The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee meeting is the most important event in the week ahead.  It is not that it will take fresh policy action.  Rather its observations about the economy and its forward guidance are the focus.  Since the Fed…
    - 1 day ago 13 Jun 21, 1:11am -
  • US Yields Stabilize After Falling to Three-Month Lows
    Overview: The 10-year US Treasury yield steadied after reaching a three-month low near 1.43%, despite the US CPI rising more than expected to 5% year-over-year.  On the week, the decline of around a dozen basis points would be the largest in a year.…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 10:51am -
  • ECB Meeting and US CPI: Transitory Impact
    Overview: The ECB meeting and the US May CPI report is at hand. The US dollar is consolidating at a higher level against most of the major currencies.  Softer than expected, inflation readings are weighing on the Scandis, which are bearing the brun…
    - 4 days ago 10 Jun 21, 10:54am -
  • Without Yield Support, the Dollar Wilts
    Overview: Falling US yields weigh on the US dollar.  The 10-year Treasury yield is flirting with the 1.50% mark, and the greenback is trading heavily against all the major and most emerging market currencies. European and the Asia Pacific benchmark…
    - 5 days ago 9 Jun 21, 10:42am -
  • Marking Time ahead of the Week's Big Events
    Overview:  The capital markets appear to be in a holding pattern ahead of this week's big events, including the US CPI and the ECB meeting.  Equities are little changed but with a heavier bias evident.  Most of the large bourses in the Asia Pacif…
    - 6 days ago 8 Jun 21, 12:25pm -
  • The Greenback Steadies after Retreating on the Jobs Data
    Overview:  After falling to 1.55% after the US employment data, which, while mixing expectations, could hardly be considered weak, the US 10-year yield has come back firmer today (1.58%) This may be lending the greenback a better tone.  Equity mark…
    - 7 days ago 7 Jun 21, 12:46pm -
  • Did the Creation of more than Half a Million Jobs Snuff Out the Dollar's Upside Correction?
    The second consecutive disappointing US jobs report stopped the dollar bounce cold.  The question is whether that means that the greenback's downtrend, seen in April and May, will resume. On the one hand, our macro narrative requires higher US inter…
    - 7 days ago 6 Jun 21, 2:25pm -
  • ECB, Bank of Canada, and the Peak in US CPI Base Effect
    The media has played up the upcoming ECB with all the Sturm und Drang that can be mustered. However, investors and other market participants seem considerably less anxious.  And for a good reason:  at the end of the day, it does not really matter t…
    - 7 days ago 6 Jun 21, 2:17pm -
  • US and Canada Report on Jobs as G7 Fin Mins Talk Taxes
    Overview: Stronger than expected US employment data, ahead of today's monthly report and compromise proposal on corporate tax by the White House to help secure a deal on infrastructure sent US bond yields and the dollar high. Late dollar shorts were…
    - 10 days ago 4 Jun 21, 10:45am -

Business Insider Video

The Reformed Broker

  • This Week on TRB
    These were the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it...The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 2 days ago 12 Jun 21, 12:33pm -
  • Bitcoin Thirstmonsters
    Welcome to the second episode of The Compound & Friends, a new podcast from your favorite financial and investing commentators. This week, Michael Batnick, Sam Ro and Downtown Josh Brown discuss:...The post Bitcoin Thirstmonsters appeared first on T…
    - 3 days ago 11 Jun 21, 1:05pm -
  • Clips From Today’s Halftime Report
    EA drops on news of hack, security stocks rise from CNBC. I should own this, but I don’t, says Josh Brown of RH from CNBC. Best long term hold: Abbvie or Gilead? #AskHalftime from CNBC. Final Trades: Schlumberger, Amazon, TJX & more from CNBC....T…
    - 3 days ago 10 Jun 21, 9:00pm -
  • I did the Business Casual podcast this week
    Thanks to my friends at Morning Brew, especially Alex Lieberman for a fun, wide-ranging interview. ...The post I did the Business Casual podcast this week appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 3 days ago 10 Jun 21, 4:32pm -
  • Clips From Today’s Closing Bell
    Ritholtz Wealth Management’s Josh Brown eyeing Amazon in the markets from CNBC....The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 4 days ago 9 Jun 21, 10:00pm -
  • It’s Not a Housing Bubble, It’s a Supply Bust
    Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week's episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including:...The post It’s Not a Housing Bubble, It’s a Suppl…
    - 5 days ago 8 Jun 21, 6:36pm -
  • Clips From Today’s Halftime Report
    “Halftime” traders debate J.P. Morgan call on market’s ‘next leg higher’ from CNBC. Microsoft, Chevron and J.P. Morgan make RBC list of most-popular stocks among hedge funds from CNBC. Uber or Lyft? #AskHalftime from CNBC....The post Clips…
    - 5 days ago 8 Jun 21, 5:28pm -
  • It can’t be transitory
    Let me tell you a fairy tale......The post It can’t be transitory appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 6 days ago 8 Jun 21, 12:20pm -
  • Is Food Delivery the Worst Business Ever?
    Maybe liquor will be better?...The post Is Food Delivery the Worst Business Ever? appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 6 days ago 7 Jun 21, 9:47pm -
  • Base Effects
    obviously prices are rising for both goods and services throughout the economy. But the statistics are misleading without the context. ...The post Base Effects appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 7 days ago 7 Jun 21, 1:28pm -

Shadow Stats

  • Flash Commentary No. 1460a

    - 13 days ago 31 May 21, 11:07pm -
  • Benchmark Commentary No. 1459
    (SGS Subscription required) • Intractable and Deteriorating Conditions Still Signal No Imminent Economic Recovery, Irrespective of Some Bounces in March Activity Against Weather-Driven February Collapses • Monthly Annual and Post-Pandemic Payrol…
    - 54 days ago 21 Apr 21, 9:15am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1458
    • January 2021 Manufacturing Declined Year-to-Year for the 19th Consecutive Month, Still in the Downturn Induced by the FOMC 15 Months Before the Pandemic Collapse • Where January 2021 Year-to-Year Manufacturing Contracted by 1.0% (-1.0%), It Al…
    - 24 Feb 21, 9:59am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1457
    • Pandemic-Driven Unemployment Soared to an April 2020 Peak of About 32%, Worse Than in the Great Depression; Such Was Against a January 2020 Pre-Pandemic U.3 Unemployment Rate of 3.5% • In the Latest Four Months, Pandemic-Driven Unemployment Ha…
    - 16 Feb 21, 3:21am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1456
    • Fourth-Quarter 2020 Annualized Real GDP Growth of 4.0% Was as Expected, Slowing from the Record 33.4% Third-Quarter Pandemic Rebound • Full-Year 2020 Annual GDP Decline of 3.5% (-3.5%) Was the Deepest Since the 1946 Post-World War II Economic…
    - 1 Feb 21, 9:45am -
  • Economic Commentary, Issue No. 1455
    • Key Monthly Economic Numbers Turned Negative Anew in Fourth-Quarter 2020 • Narrowing Annual Declines in October and November Payrolls Stalled at 6.0% (-6.0%), But the Year-to-Year Drop in December 2020 Payrolls Deepened to 6.2% (-6.2%) • An…
    - 28 Jan 21, 3:03pm -
  • Economic Commentary No. 1454
    • Deepening Economic Woes and Soaring Inflation Ahead • Underlying Economic and Labor Numbers through November Indicate Contracting or Flattening Fourth-Quarter 2020 GDP, Well Shy of Economic Recovery • On Top of Downside Revisions, Declining…
    - 30 Dec 20, 12:58am -
  • Economic Commentary No. 1453
    • Four Million Unemployed People Are Missing from the Headline Labor Force • Pandemic-Disrupted U.3 Unemployment Effectively Was 9.0% in November 2020, Not the Headlined 6.7% • November Unemployment and Payrolls Confirmed Stalled, L-Shaped, N…
    - 15 Dec 20, 1:33am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1452
    • October 2020 Cass Freight Index® Turned Positive Year-to-Year, Gaining 2.4% Against an Unusually Sharp, Unseasonable Decline the Year Before • Such Was the First Annual Gain in Freight Activity Since November 2018, When Excessive Fed Tighten…
    - 23 Nov 20, 10:48pm -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1451
    • Positive News on COVID-19 Vaccines and Treatments Rallied Stocks to Pre-Pandemic Peaks • Pandemic-Related Structural Damage to the Economy, However, Promises a Troubled Recovery, With Meaningful Fiscal and Monetary Stimulus Likely Continuing B…
    - 16 Nov 20, 11:12am -

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