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Financial Survival

Armstrong Economics

  • newMarket Talk – August 13, 2020
    ASIA: The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has called for protecting Xi Jinping as difficulties mount for China. Both Xi and the CCP are under pressure due to widespread domestic criticism and the poor economic situation, in addition to the debilitating…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 6:28pm -
  • newPRIVATE BLOG – Democrats Anti-Investment Tax Every Buy or Sell Order
    PRIVATE BLOG – Democrats Anti-Investment Tax Every Buy or Sell Order Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com. https://ask-socrates.com/
    - 8 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 5:35pm -
  • newThe Agenda is Right in the Open But the Media & Politicians Turn a Blind Eye
    COMMENT: Dear Mr. Armstrong, By some weird stroke of coincidence, your recent article “Belgium Files Suit Against Gates & Neil Ferguson” beat me to the punch. I had planned to write you about the need for We the People of Planet Earth to organize…
    - 21 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:09am -
  • newGovernments Ending Free Societies
    COVID deaths have fallen in Britain by 96%. Even the number of people infected who are seeking some treatment fell from 17,000 per day to 700. The real question is why are governments escalating their authority? The blue states in the USA are clearly…
    - 21 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:05am -
  • newA Plea from a Member of the Italian Parliament – International Call to Action
    International call to action: demand your governments to access the technical-scientific data of Covid-19 emergency! Italian international call to action demanding transparency and data on Covid-19. We are appealing to all the associations (and citiz…
    - 21 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:01am -
  • Market Talk – August 12, 2020
    ASIA: US President Donald Trump has said China is failing to meet commitments to buy more American goods under the phase one trade deal, a sign of increasing pressure on Beijing ahead of a six-month review of the deal between senior officials. US Tra…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 2:48pm -
  • New Ad Depicts 2020 Election as a War
      Socrates not only had forecast that 2015.75 would be the peak in government and the start of the Big Bang, which was initiated by the move to negative interest rates in 2014. This would undermine the sovereign debt markets and set in motion the de…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 4:09am -
  • The Gates Agenda – Control Everything
    Bill Gates, who nobody cares to investigate, is once again using blacks in Africa as his guinea pigs; allegedly bribing politicians to allow him to conduct his experiments. Gates is launching his digital ID with vaccines being linked to digital payme…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 4:05am -
  • My Personal Opinion
    QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, what is your personal opinion about the rise of all this confrontation over a virus that has justified reducing all freedoms and rights? Do you plan to stay in the United States? LN ANSWER: Personally, I am very depressed abo…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 4:03am -
  • Should The US Invade Melbourne Australia to Restore Human Rights Like Iraq?
      How will the markets handle what lies ahead is very interesting. Historically capital will ALWAYS flee from tyranny. The markets may appear to be disconnected, but they are clearly beginning to weight the changing tide of freedom which is so essen…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 4:01am -

The Market Ticker

Wolf Street

Dollar Collapse

  • newBreaking News/Best Of The Web
    Much of America is shut out of the greatest borrowing binge ever … Argentina, Mexico and Peru likely to see double-digit contractions … How can Wall Street be so healthy when Main Street isn’t? … Gold is returning to its rightful place … Be…
    - 24 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 1:40am -
  • Welcome To The Third World, Part 31: Cities And States Are Bankrupt Without A Bailout
    Lacking monetary printing presses, US cities and states tend to behave more like normal economic entities than do most nations. That is, they’re always balanced on the knife-edge of insolvency as taxes fail to cover the promises, legitimate and oth…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 6:58pm -
  • Top Ten Videos – August 9
    Gerald Celente: The Great Depression has arrived … Alasdair Macleod: The next phase of the silver squeeze … Doug Noland: It’s too late to turn back now … Rick Rule: Gold and silver are just getting started … Peter Schiff: Hurricane Goldie b…
    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 12:27am -
  • As Gold Soars, Miners Become Hot Growth Stocks
    The idea that a rising gold price is good for gold miners is intuitively easy to grasp. But to understand just how good, you have to see the numbers. Consider the second-quarter reports of mid-tier gold miners Pretium Resources  and Great Panther Mi…
    - 7 days ago 6 Aug 20, 7:42pm -
  • Why So Many Cities Are Paralyzed
    Sympathy for America’s big-city mayors and their allies is evaporating – generally for good reason. Portland and Seattle, for instance, seemed willing to give rioters a free hand before belatedly stepping in. And of course there’s the amazing q…
    - 11 days ago 3 Aug 20, 12:57am -
  • Top Ten Videos – August 2
    Mike Maloney: Is this the beginning of $8,000 gold? … Gregor Gregersen: Silver is mispriced by orders of magnitude … Schiff vs Rickards: Is $15,000 gold realistic? Absolutely … Matt Taibbi & Bret Weinstein: Can Joe Rogan be canceled? … Robert…
    - 11 days ago 2 Aug 20, 7:13pm -
  • When It Rains It Pours, Florida Edition
    Problems often come in bunches. And each new one adds — sometimes exponentially — to the complexity of a given situation. See One Problem Is Manageable. Five Might Not Be. The latest example of this unfortunate principle in action is the mess Flo…
    - 13 days ago 31 Jul 20, 7:57pm -
  • Gold Goes Mainstream, New York Times Edition
    There’s a stage in precious metals bull markets where even the least-interested mainstream media outlets feel compelled to acknowledge that something big is happening. This helps prolong the uptrend by bringing gold and silver to the attention of p…
    - 15 days ago 30 Jul 20, 12:05am -
  • Top Ten Videos – July 26
    Peter Schiff: When silver breaks its double top, look out … Michael Pento: Get ready for stagflation and Greater Depression … Gerald Celente: This is an economic cataclysm … Silver Dragon: The best and worst silver for stacking … Mike Maloney…
    - 18 days ago 26 Jul 20, 10:57pm -
  • Europe Bails Out Its Failed States with “Common” (i.e., German) Bonds
    The “European Project” was designed with something like the current crisis in mind. The adoption of a common currency was just the first, politically easiest, step in a process that would eventually – its architects hoped – culminate in somet…
    - 23 days ago 21 Jul 20, 6:56pm -

ClusterStock

Money Game

International Business Times

Sovereign Man

  • Does anyone else find this ironic?
    Does anyone else find this ironic? In the age of #MeToo and BLM, the most ‘woke’ political party in the Land of the Free has chosen a guy with multiple sexual misconduct allegations as its presidential nominee; and a lady who locked up countless…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 5:12pm -
  • Our enemies will tremble at the sight of our diversity and inclusion. . .
    Not long ago, the British Army realized that it needed to completely revamp its recruiting campaign. The younger generation simply wasn’t responding to the Army’s previous ‘Be All You Can Be’ style of advertising. So British leadership change…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 2:54pm -
  • Economic prosperity is no longer the priority. Guess what happens next…
    Recently I held a live Q&A Zoom call with my friend Peter Schiff, and several dozen members of our Total Access group. And towards the end of the call, one of our members asked– what do you think the future looks like for the US, and the West in ge…
    - 3 days ago 10 Aug 20, 3:31pm -
  • Ignorance prevails again!
    Are you ready for this week’s absurdity? Here’s our Friday roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty, risks to your prosperity… and on occasion, inspiring poetic justice. Yale Study tests the…
    - 6 days ago 7 Aug 20, 2:22pm -
  • This second passport comes with free university tuition
    I’ve written a lot in the past that there are two lifelong benefits that parents can provide their children, practically from birth. The first is the gift of a foreign language. Every kid is going to learn his/her parents’ native tongue.  But gi…
    - 7 days ago 6 Aug 20, 3:31pm -
  • 4 countries welcoming the digital nomads during Covid
    Life has taken an eerie turn for digital nomads as their favorite cities emptied of tourists and foreigners working remotely. Tasha Prados arrived in Vietnam in late February, a few weeks before the country closed its borders. On March 12, she receiv…
    - 8 days ago 5 Aug 20, 3:16pm -
  • Mommy put us in time-out again
    After a few weeks of freedom here in Puerto Rico where people could engage in dangerous, death-defying acts (like going to the gym), our all-knowing, all-powerful governor announced new lockdown rules late last week. Or as I tell my friends, Mommy pu…
    - 9 days ago 4 Aug 20, 5:29pm -
  • Some clear thinking on gold at its all-time high
    For as long as I can remember, I’ve been a fan of Bruce Lee. I was probably about four years old when I first watched one of his movies. And I was instantly hooked. The guy was legendary. As a teenager, I learned more about how he lived, and I bega…
    - 10 days ago 3 Aug 20, 4:12pm -
  • You can now be fined, jailed, and assaulted for not wearing a mask
    Are you ready for this week’s absurdity? Here’s our Friday roll-up of the most ridiculous stories from around the world that are threats to your liberty, risks to your prosperity… and on occasion, inspiring poetic justice. Governors proclaim ch…
    - 13 days ago 31 Jul 20, 3:07pm -
  • And suddenly your passport is worthless
    Imagine being a seventeen year old, travelling internationally, all by yourself. It’s scary, but exciting– all the more so because you have been accepted to Harvard University. You’ve worked your tail off for years, all culminating in this amaz…
    - 14 days ago 30 Jul 20, 4:30pm -

Investment Watch

Financial Survival

Daily Reckoning

  • The Cases for Biden and Trump

    The Cases for Biden and Trump

    This post The Cases for Biden and Trump appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Jim Rickards shows you the case for Biden winning the election, followed by the case for a Trump victory…The post The Cases for Biden and Trump appeared first on Daily Reck…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 8:00pm -
  • Here’s What the “Stimulus Plan” Stimulated

    Here’s What the “Stimulus Plan” Stimulated

    This post Here’s What the “Stimulus Plan” Stimulated appeared first on Daily Reckoning.“Governments incline naturally to spending, as governments incline naturally to roguery, crookery and rascality”…The post Here’s What the “Stimul…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 8:13pm -
  • Jim Rickards’ Blockbuster Election Prediction

    Jim Rickards’ Blockbuster Election Prediction

    This post Jim Rickards’ Blockbuster Election Prediction appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Jim Rickards issues a blockbuster election prediction… “When you want to know what’s really going on, pay no attention to the media, the elites or any…
    - 3 days ago 10 Aug 20, 8:24pm -
  • EXPOSED: The Great Money Fiction

    EXPOSED: The Great Money Fiction

    This post EXPOSED: The Great Money Fiction appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The immemorial myth that money and wealth are the same… Why economists prefer inflation to deflation…The post EXPOSED: The Great Money Fiction appeared first on Daily…
    - 6 days ago 7 Aug 20, 9:30pm -
  • “Hell Is Truth Seen Too Late”

    “Hell Is Truth Seen Too Late”

    This post “Hell Is Truth Seen Too Late” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.A warning for the United States from Thomas Hobbes… The false miracle of the Keynesian multiplier…The post “Hell Is Truth Seen Too Late” appeared first on Daily R…
    - 7 days ago 6 Aug 20, 7:50pm -
  • The China Myth, Exposed

    The China Myth, Exposed

    This post The China Myth, Exposed appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Jim Rickards shows you why China’s economy is a house of cards and remains stuck in the “middle income” trap…The post The China Myth, Exposed appeared first on Daily Reckon…
    - 10 days ago 3 Aug 20, 8:00pm -
  • Falling Into the Abyss Between Wall Street and Main Street

    Falling Into the Abyss Between Wall Street and Main Street

    This post Falling Into the Abyss Between Wall Street and Main Street appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Charles Hugh Smith shows you how America is falling into the abyss between Wall Street and Main Street…The post Falling Into the Abyss Between…
    - 12 days ago 1 Aug 20, 7:54pm -
  • The Unraveling Will Accelerate

    The Unraveling Will Accelerate

    This post The Unraveling Will Accelerate appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The Fed can’t make bankrupt firms solvent or make employers hire people…The post The Unraveling Will Accelerate appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 12 days ago 1 Aug 20, 7:50pm -
  • A “Massive Welfare Economy”

    A “Massive Welfare Economy”


    - 14 days ago 30 Jul 20, 7:37pm -
  • Deadlier Than Cancer

    Deadlier Than Cancer

    This post Deadlier Than Cancer appeared first on Daily Reckoning.In today's issue managing editor Brian Maher talks: The single sentence that sums up the whole gospel of Karl Marx…The post Deadlier Than Cancer appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 15 days ago 29 Jul 20, 7:41pm -

Jim Rogers Blog

  • 👉Jim Rogers on Bitcoin , Silver , Gold, Farmland, The Economy and Much Much More...
    👉Jim Rogers on Bitcoin , Silver , Gold, Farmland, The Economy and Much Much More...Jim Rogers on Bitcoin , Silver , Gold, Farmland, The Economy and Much Much More...Jim Rogers is an American investor and financial commentator based in Sin…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 8:35pm -
  • 👉Gold to $3000, Silver to $40 before Year-End !!
    👉Gold to $3000, Silver to $40 before Year-End !!Gold has no ceiling because the dollar has no floor. Gold is up $200 in the last two weeks and $500 or 35% in 2020. Since the resistance mark at $1,350 was broken in June 2019, gold has gone u…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 12:00am -
  • 👉The Truth About The Stock Market Bubble -- How much bigger can it Get
    👉The Truth About The Stock Market Bubble -- How much bigger can it GetEvictions, GDP numbers, unemployment, business closures. All point to an economic disaster. Meanwhile, the stock market continues to break records, especially Nasdaq…
    - 4 days ago 9 Aug 20, 10:20pm -
  • 👉The Truth About The 2.5 Quadrillion Derivatives Bubble
    👉The Truth About The 2.5 Quadrillion Derivatives BubbleThe next financial crisis will be bigger than the last one and will wipe out a lot of wealth across the board.There is a 35 Trillion Pentagon accounting black hole. That was announced…
    - 7 days ago 7 Aug 20, 12:11am -
  • 👉What's Coming is Economic Collapse and Financial Bankers Dictatorship !!
    👉What's Coming is Economic Collapse and Financial Bankers Dictatorship !!We are in the midst of a forced national religion. It is banks and bankers for all. It will kill us all if we let it. It's all about the Federal Reserve SYSTEM. A syste…
    - 10 days ago 3 Aug 20, 2:35pm -
  • US Dollar is about to Collapse bring with it The Whole American Economy !!
    US Dollar is about to Collapse bring with it The Whole American Economy !!GDP collapsing, debt spiraling, interest at zero, the virus still making amok.The USA, the land of the permanent debt slaves, kept hooked on the federal reserves printin…
    - 12 days ago 1 Aug 20, 10:44pm -
  • US GDP drops by a Third, The biggest GDP contraction since the Great Depression !!!
    US GDP drops by a Third, The biggest GDP contraction since the Great Depression !!!US Q2 GDP Crashes By A Record 32.9%, Worse Than Great Depression.The coronavirus pandemic triggered the sharpest economic contraction in modern American hist…
    - 13 days ago 31 Jul 20, 9:13pm -
  • 👉How to Invest in Gold - Physical Gold (Bullion) vs. ETFs
    👉How to Invest in Gold - Physical Gold (Bullion) vs. ETFs Gold price this week broke the 2011 all-time high of $1,920. I have never considered the $1,920 level important. Since gold has in the last couple of years made new highs in all ot…
    - 14 days ago 31 Jul 20, 1:17am -
  • Gold Prices Set to Break The All-Time High Record of $2000/oz
    Gold Prices Set to Break The All-Time High Record of $2000/oz Gold may be a barbarous relic, but we live in barbarous times.Gold prices scored their best weekly gain in three months, with prices of the yellow metal breaking above the $1,900-m…
    - 19 days ago 26 Jul 20, 1:17am -
  • The End Of The Dollar Era Approaching
    The End Of The Dollar Era ApproachingThe End Of The Dollar Era Approaching A dollar crash is virtually inevitable.The stronger dollar era may be on borrowed time.The era of the U.S. dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” as the world’s p…
    - 20 days ago 25 Jul 20, 12:38am -

of two minds

  • newThe "New Normal" Is De-Normalization
    Here's what denormalization means: there was no "New Normal" for the dinosaurs.Everyone talks about the "New Normal," as if there's a guarantee that life will return to normal. But the "New Normal" is De-Normalization, which I define as everythi…
    - 6 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 7:07pm -
  • Could Wall Street Lose the Election?
    Two simple regulations would drive a stake through Wall Street's corrupt, evil heart.While the corporate media is focused on the presidential election, perhaps the more interesting question is: could Wall Street Lose the election? That is, could Wal…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 7:21pm -
  • The Economy Is Mortally Wounded
    A fully financialized, totally debt and speculation-dependent economy is terminal once leverage and debt stop expanding exponentially.We all know the movie scene in which the character is wounded but dismisses it as no big deal, and then lurches into…
    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 3:00am -
  • If the "Market" Never Goes Down, The System Is Doomed
    The reliance on "good news" narratives dooms our financial system and economy to a death spiral once reality breaks through the induced euphoria."Markets" that never go down aren't markets, they're signaling mechanisms of the Powers That Be. Markets…
    - 7 days ago 6 Aug 20, 7:50pm -
  • The Bogus "Recovery," Stress and Burnout
    We have three basic ways to counter the destructive consequences of stress.We have all experienced the disorientation and "brain freeze" that stress triggers. The pandemic and the responses to the pandemic have been continuous sources of stress, i.e…
    - 8 days ago 5 Aug 20, 6:01pm -
  • TikTok and our Last-Ditch Desperation for Social Mobility
    Social media offers hope of achieving higher social status, something that is increasingly out of reach in our winner-take-most economy.I've often addressed the decline of social mobility and the addictive nature of social media, for example, Why Is…
    - 9 days ago 4 Aug 20, 6:02pm -
  • A Vaccine May Not Be the "Magical Cure" Everyone Anticipates
    Few appear willing to follow the probabilities of a future in which a vaccine cannot possibly be the "magic cure" everyone wants.Let's attempt the impossible and set aside all preconceptions we might have about a vaccine for Covid-19, and think it th…
    - 11 days ago 2 Aug 20, 8:25pm -
  • Memo from Insiders: Dear Bagholders, Thanks for Buying Our Shares at the Top
    The self-sustaining recovery is a fantasy that's evaporated.What looks like a powerful, can't-lose rally to newbies is recognized as distribution by old hands. In low-volume markets (as in the past few months), insiders holding large positions can…
    - 13 days ago 31 Jul 20, 7:03pm -
  • The Next Leg Down: The Top 10% Are About to Take a Hit
    No federal bailout or stimulus can reverse these three dynamics, and no amount of legerdemain can replace the spending of the top 10%.Few of those anxiously seeking a rebound in consumer spending take into account the top 10% of households account fo…
    - 14 days ago 30 Jul 20, 5:15pm -
  • Our Slide into Social Psychosis and Breakdown
    Not only is our lifestyle on back-order, so is our sanity.Yesterday I mentioned our collective inability to make sense of the contradictory messages of the status quo and our own experience. This inability to reconcile completely contradictory messa…
    - 15 days ago 29 Jul 20, 6:21pm -

The Big Picture

  • newRanking Covid-19 Crash in Market History
    How the S&P 500 Performed During Major Market Crashes Source: Visual Capitalist     I am working on a column on how concentrated big market indices can get when a handful of firms dominate the market cap (I’ll post it here next week). In the proc…
    - 9 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:31pm -
  • new10 Thursday AM Reads
    My morning train WFH reads: • To The Brink and Back in 175 Days: The return to February high is faster than past bear markets in a lopsided recovery with gains dominated by tech stocks (Bloomberg) • Warehouses and Data Centers, Market Favorites,…
    - 15 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 10:45am -
  • Your Ancestors Knew Death in Ways You Never Will
    Source: New York Times, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene   This is a fascinating discussion about the 1918 pandemic and how far medicine has advanced: “The annual baseline back then was about 25 deaths per 1,000 New Yorkers, a…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 9:00pm -
  • Fiscal Response to the Pandemic
    Hutchins Center Fiscal Impact Measure Source: Brookings     The chart above is a fascinating look at the 3 sources economic stimulus: Congress, the Federal Reserve, and State/Local spending. The Federal Reserve is projected to continue to stimulate…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 1:00pm -
  • 10 Wednesday AM Reads
    My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • How Lucid’s New Electric Car Stacks Up Against Tesla and Porsche: The company has announced a car capable of 517 miles on a single charge. Here’s how it fared in a real-world showdown with the current elec…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 10:45am -
  • Framing Your Investments for Context & Clarity
    Source: JP Morgan Asset Management   The above is one of my favorite charts. This version comes from a JPM discussion on “Framing Bias.” It raises interesting issues about how decisions are influenced by the way information is presented: “What…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 2:00pm -
  • MiB: How do you redesign an Icon?
    What do you do when your job requires you to redesign, from the ground up, an iconic product beloved by millions?  That was the challenge facing Paul Wraith, Chief Designer for the new 2021 Ford Bronco. The truck has an iconic history. The collecto…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 1:00pm -
  • 10 Tuesday AM Reads
    My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • In a bleak economy, these companies are flourishing: The coronavirus pandemic is reshaping spending patterns, creating new winners and losers (Washington Post) see also Unemployment Fell. But The Recove…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 10:30am -
  • All S&P 500 Sectors and Industries, by Size
    The core of the argument in last week’s discussion on Why Markets Don’t Seem to Care If the Economy Stinks surprised a few people. It is yet another reminder that the world is very complex and we don’t know what we don’t know. At times, it se…
    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 12:30pm -
  • 10 Monday AM Reads

    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 10:45am -

Jesse's Cafe Americain

Angry Bear

  • newLebanon’s Leaders Resign over deaths of 200, but Trump refuses Accountability for 163,462 Deaths
    Prof. Juan Cole, the Richard P. Mitchell Professor of History at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor is also the founder of the blog Informed Comment. Professor Cole writes on international issues. Angry Bear has featured Prof. Cole from time to ti…
    - 5 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 8:00pm -
  • newCoronavirus dashboard for August 10: some good news to balance the bad
    Coronavirus dashboard for August 10: some good news to balance the bad Total US cases:  5,060,880 Average last 7 days: 52,393/day Total US deaths: 154,947 Average last 7 days: 1,045/day Source: COVID Tracking Project Let’s take a look at some good…
    - 12 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 12:58pm -
  • newJuly inflation consistent with early recovery; no compelling evidence of wage deflation
    July inflation consistent with early recovery; no compelling evidence of wage deflation   Yesterday morning July consumer prices were reported to have increased 0.6% for the second month in a row (as did core inflation, ex-food and energy): As a res…
    - 13 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 12:01pm -
  • newDonald J. Harris And His Daughter Kamala Harris
    Donald J. Harris And His Daughter Kamala Harris  Now the Democratic candidate for Vice President of the United States, a historic pick, no matter what one thinks of her, and I know quite a few people on the left and Dems more generally who are not f…
    - 14 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 11:47am -
  • Tiny Homes – A ‘Fundamental Shift is Occurring’
    A recently purchased, rundown, 1 acre mobile home park is redesigned by a tiny house manufacturer into a site for tiny homes. Dan Dobrowolski of “Escape” has been building tiny houses and giving them a place to go for a while. Now during the Cor…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 4:00pm -
  • Fed Deficit Leaps From Under 5% of GDP last year to 15% Now
    In the second quarter, the federal deficit leaped from under 5% of GDP last year to near 15% now. This is new record compared to the prior record of almost 10% of GDP that Obama inherited from Bush Yes, falling nominal GDP played a role, but a weak e…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 7:59pm -
  • The UI fiscal stimulus
    Apropos my previous post, a new NBER paper by Casado et al estimates the effect of pandemic unemployment benefits on local spending: The FPUC supplement to unemployment insurance of $600 ended at the end of July 2020. Prior to its expiration, the ave…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 12:01pm -
  • The rational self-interest theory of politics meets Donald Trump
    In a semi-rational world, Trump and Senate Republicans would have agreed to a reasonably generous economic relief package along the lines of the HEROES Act approved by the House.  Without an extension of the special pandemic unemployment benefits an…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 11:43am -
  • Open thread August 11, 2020

    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 10:11am -
  • Did July’s headline jobs number miss business closures, and so overcount job gains?
    Did July’s headline jobs number miss business closures, and so overcount job gains? A few issues arose with regard to last Friday’s jobs number; in particular, the effect of government jobs in the form of Census and teaching jobs, whether seasona…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 10:06am -

The Burning Platform

  • newHere I Come to Save the Day!
    The Big Tech CV19 fix is in.   Brick and mortar is dead and gone and replaced with virtual, for your own protection.  And, for your kids (it’s always the kids).   Big Tech has come to save the day! No disrespect intended to the great Mighty Mo…
    - 4 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 9:38pm -
  • newYou Don’t Know, What You Don’t Know – And It Can Hurt You!
    I ran into the house crying. My grandmother grabbed some ice and pressed it to my face. I was a first-grader and had never been on a farm before. I knocked down a wasp’s nest with a broom. I got nailed, and it hurt! My grandfather looked at the wel…
    - 4 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 9:35pm -
  • newGOVERNMENT & MEDIA RIDICULE
    Via Politically Incorrect Humor
    - 4 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 8:57pm -
  • newChicago looters smash Ronald McDonald House with terrified sick kids inside
    Via the NY Post Sick kids and their families cowered in fear inside a Chicago Ronald McDonald House as looters smashed the front door while trying to get inside this week, according to staff. The charity says more than 30 families, as well as some si…
    - 6 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 6:55pm -
  • newPennsylvania District Mandates White Supremacy Lessons for Kindergartners
    Via The Free Beacon Elementary school children returning to a wealthy Pennsylvania classroom in the fall will learn that sympathizing with police officers is racist. Gladwyne Elementary School—located in Lower Merion School District, one of the ri…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 6:32pm -
  • newConversion
    Guest Post by Eric Peters It is wise to put aside some cash for just-in-case. Well, it was. When the economy was stable; when tens of millions of Americans weren’t sick in the head – and out on the streets (Diapers on their faces, protecting them…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 5:52pm -
  • newFACE THE FACTS
    Guest Post by Southern Sage “If you will not fight for the right when you can easily win without bloodshed; if you will not fight when your victory will be sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the…
    - 8 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 5:07pm -
  • newMEANWHILE….IN CANADA
    Submitted by RiNS
    - 9 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:45pm -
  • newSacrifice And Victory . . . –
    Guest post from John Wilder at Wilder Wealthy Wise. It ain’t over until we say it’s over.” – Animal House After one victory, I threw my ball into the crowd.  The people at the bowling alley did not like that. This is not going to be a typic…
    - 9 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 3:49pm -
  • newHOOD HOME SCHOOLING
    Nice training. Right down to the hand signals. #Jackals. pic.twitter.com/bcdcuHRtzv — James Woods (@RealJamesWoods) August 13, 2020
    - 10 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 3:10pm -

Silicon Valley Insider

The Wire

War Room

Naked Capitalism

Coyote Blog

  • newThe Hard Work That Must Be Done to Improve Police Accountability
    As I observe it currently, the three strategies currently being taken by Progressives to increase police accountability are Demonizing all police officers, good and bad Making large cuts to police budgets and/or salaries Looting Apple stores I have l…
    - 8 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 5:39pm -
  • Do Teachers Next
    @kevindrum writes this yesterday at his blog: How long will taxpayers put up with threats to stop doing their job every time police forces are asked to make even the smallest change or sacrifice? It’s childish stuff and before long it’s likely to…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 3:56pm -
  • It Looks Like Trump Is Going to Put My Business in a Vise
    Years ago I was arguing with my mother-in-law about Executive power and the Presidency.  She, like many Obama supporters, was arguing that gridlock in Congress over legislation she considered critical was sufficient justification for President Obama…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 3:18pm -
  • Unbundling the College Experience
    I thought this was a really interesting idea.  The COVID lockdowns and colleges going to remote classes has revealed a pretty strong preference among folks paying for the college experience -- they want the classes (or at least the piece of paper th…
    - 3 days ago 11 Aug 20, 5:00am -
  • Speech Hypocrisy: A Prominent Conservative Sees the Appeal of Cancel Culture
    Here is John Hinderaker at Powerline: In 2017, Professor Knijnenburg wrote that “all Trump supporters, nay, all Republicans, are racist scum.”... Why should the people of South Carolina fund this bigot? Why should they allow him to teach their ch…
    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 4:16am -
  • Well, So Much for Medical Privacy
    I got this in my email today from the state of New Mexico: Dear Employer, As of Wednesday, August 5, 2020, the New Mexico Environment Department (NMED) filed an emergency rule that requires employers to report positive COVID-19 cases to NMED within f…
    - 6 days ago 7 Aug 20, 8:06pm -
  • Trump Attempting to Establish the Worst Regulatory Rule Ever
    Inspired perhaps by back episodes of the Sopranos or his experience with payoffs required in New York to get any real estate development project going, Donald Trump is attempting to establish a regulatory regime right out of any kleptocracy President…
    - 10 days ago 3 Aug 20, 11:02pm -
  • Wait, You Mean That the Economic Damage From COVID Lockdowns DOES Matter?
    As I mentioned last week on twitter, I have retreated from that platform for a variety of reasons and will focus again on long-form blogging of the style this site has been pursuing for 16 years. For the last several months, I have been a lockdown sk…
    - 12 days ago 1 Aug 20, 9:20pm -
  • George Floyd, A Memo to Conservatives
    A good many of my conservative friends are in shock at the reaction to the killing of George Floyd.   "We saw the video.  We agree its awful.  No one we know is defending this." Yes, that is likely true.  The video was pretty damning.  But you…
    - 74 days ago 1 Jun 20, 2:05am -
  • George Floyd, A Memo to Progressives
    I am not going to lecture serious Progressives on the arson and looting in the streets today -- if you don't understand that stealing iPhones is not an appropriate reaction to police brutality, then the rest of this is going to be lost on you.  But…
    - 74 days ago 1 Jun 20, 2:05am -

Deal Breaker

Deal Book

Dr. Housing Bubble

Marc to Market

  • newDollar Remains Offered
    Overview: The poor price action on Tuesday in the S&P 500 was shrugged off, and new highs for the recovery were made as the record high nears.  The dollar, on the other hand, seemed to find plenty of sellers against most of the major currencies. …
    - 9 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 4:03pm -
  • The Ant and the Grasshopper: A Window into Macro Part I
    Spurred by a few op-ed pieces and a couple of investment bank "research" notes, the mainstream and social media have been talking about others talking about the dollar losing its reserve status or its larger role in the global economy.  Few appear t…
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 1:29pm -
  • Dollar was Sold in Asia and Europe, but is Poised to Bounce in North America
    Overview:  The biggest rise in the US 10-year yield in a couple of months, as the record quarterly refunding, got underway may have helped stabilize the dollar after an earlier decline.  The S&P 500 threatened to extend its advance for the eighth…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 11:50am -
  • Gold and the Dollar are Sold while Stocks March Higher
    Overview:   A rotation of sorts seems to be unfolding.  The euro posted its second back-to-back loss in over a month. The Canadian dollar, which has been an under-performer among the major currencies for the past six weeks, gained, while most fell…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 2:42pm -
  • Speculative Positioning in Selected Currency Futures
    With the media playing up the US dollar's negatives, one would think speculators are short the greenback like there is no tomorrow.  Yet a review of the Commitment of Traders report that covers the week through last Tuesday, August 4, shows that thi…
    - 3 days ago 10 Aug 20, 5:12pm -
  • Monday in August
    Overview: The new week has begun slowly with Singapore and Tokyo markets closed for national holidays.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 2% last week and edged higher today, led by 1.5%-1.7% rallies in South Korea and Australia.  Hong Kong was a no…
    - 4 days ago 10 Aug 20, 10:49am -
  • The Ant and the Grasshopper: A Window into Macro Part II
    Regardless of the dollar's role and function in the world economy and the halls of finance, in the near and intermediate terms, investors and businesses are more concerned with foreign exchange prices.  The greenback has fallen out of favor. Its ma…
    - 4 days ago 9 Aug 20, 2:36pm -
  • About that Dollar Bounce
    The US dollar did not recover as much ahead of the jobs as we flagged a week ago, and the technical condition is still stretched.  The price action lends credence to our view that a technical consolidative/corrective phase is at hand. Further near-…
    - 4 days ago 9 Aug 20, 1:33pm -
  • Position Adjustment Dominates ahead of US/Canada Employment Reports
    Overview: Escalating dramas may be behind the position adjustment today ahead of the US jobs data.  The US and China feud expanded beyond Tiktok to WeChat, and efforts to tighten disclosure rules for Chinese companies listed in the US are nearing. …
    - 6 days ago 7 Aug 20, 3:34pm -
  • Data and the Virus may Determine the Magnitude of the Dollar's Bounce
    There is no reason to expect the investment climate is going to change next week.  The key drivers remain the same.  The resurgence being seen in the virus is posing a speed bump in the re-opening and recovery process.  The work of monetary and fi…
    - 7 days ago 6 Aug 20, 5:35pm -

Business Insider Video

The Reformed Broker

  • newClips From Today’s Halftime Report
     People are no longer afraid of coronavirus resurgence and negative headlines that can send markets lower: Josh Brown from CNBC. Big bets on two casino stocks & other big calls of the day from CNBC. Final Trades: Uber, Builders FirstSource & more…
    - 3 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 10:30pm -
  • newBen Carlson and Tyrone Ross on changing lives through financial education
    The latest from YouTube:...The post Ben Carlson and Tyrone Ross on changing lives through financial education appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 5 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 7:56pm -
  • newDollar Plays
    My firm’s director of Institutional Asset Management did a great Fortune column looking at the tendency of different asset classes to rise or fall concurrently with weakness or strength in the US dollar… When the dollar is up, gold, foreign devel…
    - 7 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 6:00pm -
  • new10 years ago
    Have you begun your adventure yet? Where will you be in 10 years' time if you start today? ...The post 10 years ago appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 13 hours ago 13 Aug 20, 11:51am -
  • Clip From Today’s Closing Bell
    Josh Brown: We may be stuck with chronically high unemployment for years to come from CNBC....The post Clip From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 10:30pm -
  • Talent
    This is what it takes to deliver holistic wealth management and serve investors and their families as a fiduciary advisor....The post Talent appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 1 day ago 12 Aug 20, 2:45pm -
  • Shade of the Week
    "Last week, Goldman issued a report that was bullish on the prospect of vaccine approval in 2020"...The post Shade of the Week appeared first on The Reformed Broker.
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 11:00am -
  • Clips From Today’s Halftime Report
     Is Shake Shack a buy? #AskHalftime from CNBC. Investors should watch bond yields: Josh Brown from CNBC. Final Trades: Broadcom, Las Vegas Sands, Agnico-Eagle & more from CNBC....The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 12:07am -
  • Tesla goes old school with a 5-for-1 split
    CNBC: Tesla announced a five-for-one stock split on Tuesday evening. The split goes into effect on August 31. Tesla shares rose more than 6% in post-market trading even though the stock split changes nothing fundamental about the stock. Theoreti…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 9:32pm -
  • Nasdaq is the new S&P 500
    Subscribe to The Compond here! On an all new What Are Your Thoughts? QQQ vs SPY Stocks have had positive returns in 95% of all rolling 10-year periods – but what was the worst 10 years? Exxon is preserving its dividend by suspending employees’ 40…
    - 2 days ago 11 Aug 20, 9:26pm -

Shadow Stats

  • Flash Economic Commentary No. 1445
    (SGS Subscription required) • Mounting, Fundamental Risks for Hyperinflation and Systemic Instabilities Promise New Highs for Gold and Silver Prices, Irrespective of the August 11th Sell-Offs • Historic GDP Collapse Wiped Out the Last Five Years…
    - 2 days ago 12 Aug 20, 11:26am -
  • Economic Commentary No, 1444
    (SGS Subscription required) • FOMC Continues to Hold Its Extraordinary Interest-Rate and Liquidity Policies in Place for Duration of the Pandemic-Disruption, Amidst Signs of Renewed Slowing in Economic Activity • Exploding Gold and Silver Prices…
    - 15 days ago 30 Jul 20, 2:00am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1443
    (SGS Subscription required) • Previewing Special Economic Commentary No. 1444 • Soaring Gold and Silver Prices, and a Weakening U.S. Dollar Increasingly Foreshadow Potential Hyperinflation and Systemic Instabilities • Reporting of Deepest-Eve…
    - 21 days ago 24 Jul 20, 1:58am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1442
    (SGS Subscription required) • Soaring Gold and Silver Prices Reflect Intensifying Investor Concerns for Inflation Risk and Systemic Instabilities • Rising Gold Prices Suggest Central Banks and Treasury Departments Are Not Doing Their Jobs; Any R…
    - 35 days ago 10 Jul 20, 12:57am -
  • Special Commentary No. 1441
    (SGS Subscription required) • U.S. Economic Activity Was Faltering Before the Pandemic-Driven Collapse • Pre-Pandemic Economic Troubles Were Driven Primarily by Intensifying Federal Reserve Policy Malfeasance • March 2020 Economic Numbers Too…
    - 50 days ago 24 Jun 20, 10:31pm -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1440
    (SGS Subscription required) • June FOMC Outlook: Deepening Near-Term Economic Collapse, Protracted Recovery • Unlimited Money Creation and 0.00% to 0.25% Fed Funds Promised for Foreseeable Future • May 2020 Money Supply M1, M2 and M3 Annual G…
    - 61 days ago 14 Jun 20, 12:35am -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1439
    (SGS Subscription required) • May 2020 Payroll Gain and Unemployment Drop Were Not Credible • Extreme Pandemic-Shutdown Disruptions to Labor Market Conditions, and Surveying of Same, Heavily Distorted Bureau of Labor Statistics Reporting • He…
    - 65 days ago 9 Jun 20, 11:52pm -
  • Special Commentary No. 1438
    (SGS Subscription required) • Entire Economic Expansion Since the Great Recession Is at Risk of Collapse • Driven by the Pandemic, U.S. Economic Plunge and Financial Market Turmoil Are Accompanied by Rapidly Mounting Risk of a Hyperinflationary…
    - 71 days ago 3 Jun 20, 4:01pm -
  • Special Commentary No. 1437
    (SGS Subscription required) • Worst U.S. Economic Activity Ever Reported • April Retail Sales Fell the Most in Its 73-Year Reporting History • Production and Manufacturing Tumbled the Most in Their 101-Year History • Increasing New Claims…
    - 88 days ago 17 May 20, 9:59pm -
  • Flash Commentary No. 1436
    (SGS Subscription required) • April 2020 Cass Freight Index® Collapsed by 22.7% (-22.7%) Year-to-Year • Level of Activity and Annual Decline Both Sank to Lows Last Seen at the Depths of the Great Recession • Deepening Declines in Annual Frei…
    - 92 days ago 13 May 20, 9:27pm -

Short Ideas

    Dollar / Currencies - Seeking Alpha