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Zero Hedge

Financial Survival

Armstrong Economics

  • newWhy Do Presidents Need Memorial Libraries to Celebrate Accomplishing Nothing?
    A lawsuit has been filed to stop Chicago from taking a park to build the Obama Center as if every president warrant such a thing when all he did is miss 65% of his security briefing to play golf. It is such a joke that every president get to build a…
    - 7 hours ago 22 May 18, 4:09am -
  • newUnderstanding TIME is the Key to How the World Works
    COMMENT: I fully agree with the comment on the different time levels. I encountered a critic who said you were wrong on the euro. When I said I made money using your model and followed the buy signals he looked at me as if I was lying. They judge…
    - 7 hours ago 22 May 18, 4:04am -
  • newThe Hong Kong Peg under Attack
    QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; The Hong Peg is under fierce attack. You said at the Hong Kong WEC that the peg would break but not before 2018. Are we getting close? See you in Singapore PB ANSWER: Yes. They are spending almost $2.5 billion per week to def…
    - 7 hours ago 22 May 18, 4:01am -
  • newPrivate Blog Post – US Share Market Poised for New Highs?
    Private Blog Post – US Share Market Poised for New Highs
    - 9 hours ago 22 May 18, 2:30am -
  • newMarket Talk- May 21, 2018
    The weekends news of on-going constructive talks between the US and China, certainly gave Asian markets a boost this morning. One noticeable event was the weakening in the Yen, now trading comfortably with a 111 handle (-0.6% on the day). Now close t…
    - 17 hours ago 21 May 18, 6:47pm -
  • Understanding the Fractal Nature of TIME
    COMMENT: I attended your 2015 WEC where you laid out the future for the euro. I was skeptical, to say the least. All these people constantly focus on the dollar. Then your model gave buy signals on the euro and you said it would then rally into 2018…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 4:07am -
  • Seattle Tax For Homeless or Just for Government?
    The outrageous tax of $275 per employee for companies that do more than $20 million in business annually by the city of Seatle for the claimed housing of homeless people is really over the top. It’s not just Amazon, there are a number of businesse…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 4:07am -
  • Did Obama Use the FBI the Same as Nixon Used His Own People to Spy on Opposition?
      While Robert Mueller was not in charge of the FBI after 2013, the new revelations that the FBI was spying on members in the Trump Campaign are very alarming. This is revealing just how deep the FBI has been trying to overthrow Trump. The integrity…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 4:01am -
  • How Linear Thinking that has blinded most People
    COMMENT: I think I now see the light. It has been my linear thinking that has blinded me. Gold rallied and failed as was the case with the euro, British pound and so on. Putting them all together is why who said that the euro would rally because the…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 5:43pm -
  • WEC Singapore June 2018
    Unfortunately, the WEC in Singapore was tight on space. We stated at the beginning of this year that we would be reducing the seating for these events because they have been getting too big. I like the interaction with the people so more intimate is…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 1:32pm -

David Stockman

Wolf Street

Dollar Collapse

  • newBreaking News/Best Of The Web
    Rising inflation will produce a ‘new paradigm’. How Russia and China gained a strategic advantage in hypersonic technology. Decent possibility bitcoin goes to zero, says Vanguard. Gold and silver down but futures market structure growing more fav…
    - 11 hours ago 22 May 18, 12:20am -
  • newIs Oil About To Become Front-Page News? “A Glut That Held Prices Down For Years Is Essentially Gone”
    Here’s a new indicator for you: It seems that the difference between the price of oil here and abroad is a measure of tightness in the market, with a rising spread indicating higher prices in the future, with all the inflationary pressures that tha…
    - 19 hours ago 21 May 18, 4:47pm -
  • Italy: An Anti-Euro Government Takes Power In the Heart Of The Eurozone
    Ah, Italy. My people; fun to be around, a nightmare to govern. And now an existential threat to the European Union, the euro currency, and the global bond markets. After suffering for over a decade under a monetary regime designed by and for efficien…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 4:36pm -
  • Top Ten Videos — May 17
    Mike Maloney: “The silver coil is tightening.” Peter Schiff: The bond market breakdown gathers momentum. Jim Rickards on “very big geopolitical vectors that should push gold higher.” Max Keiser on fracking and Russian Trolls.           …
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 12:15am -
  • There’s A Number That Ends This Cycle — But What Is It?
    After an epic (generation-spanning at the long end) decline in interest rates, the trend has finally reversed. Which means, if history is still a reliable guide, there’s a number that ends this cycle and ushers in the next recession and equities be…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 4:00pm -
  • Iraq Gets A Modern Political System: Low Turnout, Surging Populism, Potential Chaos
    Remember when Iraqis were first able to vote in national elections back in the 2000s, and huge numbers braved terrorist threats to go to the polls and celebrated afterwards? Their enthusiasm contrasted sharply with US elections where turnout was low…
    - 8 days ago 14 May 18, 4:57pm -
  • Russia Deploys Exotic New Weapon: A “Budget Surplus”
    The price of oil is rising, which is obviously good news for those who sell it to the rest of us. Russia in particular seems to be enjoying the current trend, so much so that — if I’m understanding this correctly – Moscow is now receiving more…
    - 9 days ago 13 May 18, 4:32pm -
  • Kirkland Lake On Its Way To Becoming “The Premier Mining Company In The World”
    Excerpted from Jay Tayor’s Kirkland Lake Gold is by far the best up-and coming gold miner I am aware of. And Novo Resources CEO Dr. Quinton Hennigh, who knows Kirkland’s Chairman Eric Sprott as well as anyone in the mining indust…
    - 10 days ago 12 May 18, 8:18pm -
  • The 1970s All Over Again? Part 1: The Middle East Explodes
    For most Americans the geopolitical/financial crises of the 1970s happened so long ago that they’re about as relevant as the Revolutionary War or the Reformation. But for seasoned citizens who were around back then and paying attention, the similar…
    - 12 days ago 10 May 18, 5:02pm -
  • New Loan Sharks Entering The Credit Card Business
    A while back, a writer (whose name and story details I unfortunately don’t remember) was researching the credit card business and tried to figure out how card issuers decide which customers to pursue. To this end he created a series of fake persona…
    - 13 days ago 9 May 18, 4:22pm -


Money Game

Max Keiser

The Market Ticker

  • The Market Ticker - The US Government Is No Longer Legitimate
    Senator Rand Paul previously announced intent to file a bill that, among other things, would make legal price-fixing and collusion in the medical industry.The text of that bill is now available:(a) Application of the Federal Antitrust Laws to Healt…
    - 7 Feb 17, 7:19pm -
  • The Market Ticker - You Won't, But You Damn Well Better
    Get up, go in front of your mirror, strip.What do you see?A belly?  A fat ass?Be honest.  There's nobody there but you.  No, all bodies are not beautiful.  You're either somewhat normal for a human, you're thin as a rail or you're a fat fuck.Ha…
    - 7 Feb 17, 3:13pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Gee, Ya Think?
    What more needs to be said?In Bangalore, India, heart surgeons perform daily state-of-the-art heart surgery on adults and children at an average cost of $1,800. For the record, that’s about 2% of the $90,000 that the average heart surgery costs in…
    - 5 Feb 17, 4:23pm -
  • The Market Ticker - OK, So What About Spamazon And Facesucker
    Let's do Amazon first, all quarter compared against comparable.Product sales up 15%, net-net.  However, cost of fulfillment was up 25.8%, or damn close to double the product sales increase.  G&A expense was up 83.9%, or damn close to a double…
    - 3 Feb 17, 5:26pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Employment: LIES, All LIES!
    Wow, man, +227,000 employment screams the Bureau of Lies and Scams.Uh huh.  Sure.Ok, ok, the ADP report was strong too.  But if there's something to take from this report and the market's reaction (which was a bit muted) it's short everything.  T…
    - 3 Feb 17, 2:09pm -
  • The Market Ticker - H1b Abuse And Reform: Destroy Those Who Speak Against
    There's a polemic going around that the "reform" we need with H1b visas, which are issued to "smart people" from other nations, is to greatly increase their numbers.That is a damned lie.The H1b allegedly allows employers to fill jobs that there ar…
    - 2 Feb 17, 7:49pm -
  • The Market Ticker - Quit Blowing The President
    It seems some of you folks think that Trump "somehow" said he was going to help you with drug costs (a component of medical care, but only about 15% of the problem.)In fact there are some bloggers out there who are trying to find something "good"…
    - 1 Feb 17, 8:28pm -

Sovereign Man

  • newHUGE opportunity in Puerto Rico… and the developed country whose looming debt crisis is far worse
    We just finished a really -sensational- conference here in San Juan over the weekend showcasing Puerto Rico… with all of its challenges and opportunities. We’ve talked about this before– Puerto Rico is an attractive place to live and do busines…
    - 18 hours ago 21 May 18, 5:38pm -
  • 093: The future of crypto in Puerto Rico and avoiding fanaticism
    I’m writing from San Juan, Puerto Rico today. The Sovereign Man team is here to host 150+ Total Access members over the weekend. And on today’s podcast, we discuss the amazing tax benefits in PR… and why crypto wealth is flocking to the island.…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 3:31pm -
  • America’s long-term challenge #2: the looming retirement crisis
    Last week, the financial services giant Northwestern Mutual released new data showing that 1 in 3 Americans has less than $5,000 in retirement savings. It’s an unfortunately familiar story. And Northwestern Mutual’s data is entirely aligned with…
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 4:20pm -
  • It gets worse: Tesla now has to compete with $50,000 electric BMWs going for $54/month
    As if things weren’t bad enough for beleaguered Tesla… The company lost $1.1 billion in cash in the last quarter, executives are leaving the company in droves, it’s facing production issues with its Model 3 and, as I recently discussed, Elon Mu…
    - 7 days ago 15 May 18, 4:25pm -
  • Breaking down America’s worst long-term challenges: #1- Debt.
    On October 22, 1981, the national debt in the United States crossed the $1 trillion threshold for the first time in history. It took nearly two centuries to reach that unfortunate milestone. And over that time the country had been through a revolutio…
    - 8 days ago 14 May 18, 3:21pm -
  • One family’s TWO YEAR nightmare of having their child taken by the state
    This one is really infuriating. It started back in 2016… on April 6th to be specific. A Philadelphia-area mother walked into a clinic because her 7-month old baby was being excessively fussy. The doctor performed a cursory examination, concluded th…
    - 12 days ago 10 May 18, 6:04pm -
  • Meet America’s next pension casualty: the inventor of chocolate sprinkles
    In 1923, a young Jewish immigrant from a small town in modern-day Ukraine founded a candy company in Brooklyn, New York that he called “Just Born”. His name was Samuel Bernstein. And if you enjoy chocolate sprinkles or the hard, chocolate coating…
    - 13 days ago 9 May 18, 5:29pm -
  • “Bitcoin will go to $40,000 this year. . .”
    Every year around this time I attend a small, private event to break bread with some of the most invigorating people I know. There’s only about 100 people in the room– but they’re all at the top of their game… business and intellectual leader…
    - 15 days ago 7 May 18, 4:26pm -
  • Capitalism has new rules. And they’re seriously messed up.
    It was just a month and a half ago that Tesla approved an eye-popping long-term pay package, worth as much as $50 BILLION to founder and CEO Elon Musk. And on Wednesday afternoon, Tesla held its first corporate earnings call since then. You’d think…
    - 18 days ago 4 May 18, 8:50am -
  • My partner found $57 million in a random corner of Asia
    [Introduction from Simon: We’ve got one more investing Notes today. This essay, originally published in August of 2016, I think best exemplifies the strategy Sovereign Man’s Chief Investment Strategist, Tim Staermose, uses in his 4th Pillar inves…
    - 21 days ago 1 May 18, 9:00am -

Investment Watch

International Business Times

Financial Survival

Daily Reckoning

  • new3 American Companies Saying “Thank You!” To OPEC

    3 American Companies Saying “Thank You!” To OPEC

    This post 3 American Companies Saying “Thank You!” To OPEC appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Oil prices in the U.S. are now above $70/barrel, but this is only half the story, which is why today Zach Scheidt is completing the global oil market pi…
    - 20 hours ago 21 May 18, 3:05pm -
  • A Central Banker’s Plan for Your Money

    A Central Banker’s Plan for Your Money

    This post A Central Banker’s Plan for Your Money appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Elites speak publicly about their plans — but in ways only other elites can understand... “The American people are being led like sheep to the slaughter”...T…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 9:08pm -
  • $100 Oil Is One Explosion Away

    $100 Oil Is One Explosion Away

    This post $100 Oil Is One Explosion Away appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Today, Jody Chudley lays out a very real scenario that could spike the price of oil to $100/barrel.The post $100 Oil Is One Explosion Away appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 12:30pm -
  • Blundering Into Recession

    Blundering Into Recession

    This post Blundering Into Recession appeared first on Daily Reckoning.“Is this thing ready to pop? Absolutely, and QT could be just the thing to do it”...The post Blundering Into Recession appeared first on Daily Reckoning.
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 8:48pm -
  • REVEALED: The Date of the Next Big Drop

    REVEALED: The Date of the Next Big Drop

    This post REVEALED: The Date of the Next Big Drop appeared first on Daily Reckoning.A wildly bold market prediction... The Fed’s balance sheet is at its lowest level since June 2014… and is about to shrink even more...The post REVEALED: The Dat…
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 8:45pm -
  • There Is No Such Thing as Cryptocurrency

    There Is No Such Thing as Cryptocurrency

    This post There Is No Such Thing as Cryptocurrency appeared first on Daily Reckoning.“There is no blockchain and there is no such thing as cryptocurrency”... A powerful analogy between golf and the new generation of cryptocurrencies...The post…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 8:31pm -
  • Sex, Drugs And Rock & Roll (And More Drugs)

    Sex, Drugs And Rock & Roll (And More Drugs)

    This post Sex, Drugs And Rock & Roll (And More Drugs) appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Today, Zach Scheidt talks about the marijuana insights that rock legend Gene Simmons shared this week at The Money Show in Las Vegas.The post Sex, Drugs And Roc…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 12:30pm -
  • The Stock Market Cannot Crash in 2018

    The Stock Market Cannot Crash in 2018

    This post The Stock Market Cannot Crash in 2018 appeared first on Daily Reckoning.A bold stock market prediction for the rest of 2018... Stocks have surged… even though investors have fled the market...The post The Stock Market Cannot Crash in 20…
    - 7 days ago 15 May 18, 9:02pm -
  • Zach Scheidt: America’s Pot Revolution Is HERE

    Zach Scheidt: America’s Pot Revolution Is HERE

    This post Zach Scheidt: America’s Pot Revolution Is HERE appeared first on Daily Reckoning.Today, Editor Zach Scheidt gives the American pot revolution the attention it deserves!The post Zach Scheidt: America’s Pot Revolution Is HERE appeared f…
    - 7 days ago 15 May 18, 2:45pm -
  • Economic Numbers Are Less Than Meet the Eye

    Economic Numbers Are Less Than Meet the Eye

    This post Economic Numbers Are Less Than Meet the Eye appeared first on Daily Reckoning.The dark truth behind last Friday’s sunny jobs report, and why this week’s market rally could be a head fake...The post Economic Numbers Are Less Than Meet…
    - 11 days ago 11 May 18, 8:35pm -

Jim Rogers Blog

  • Korea : it's going to be extremely exciting
    Jim Rogers : “You'll have a country of 80 million people, right on the Chinese border, huge dedicated, cheap, educated, disciplined labor in the North with lots of natural resources. In the South you have massive amounts of capital, expertise, know…
    - 7 days ago 15 May 18, 4:47pm -
  • JIM ROGERS on BITCOIN & COMMODITIES in 2018 - Future of Money is Digital So You Can Be Tracked
    JIM ROGERS on BITCOIN & COMMODITIES in 2018 - Future of Money is Digital So You Can Be TrackedJim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before…
    - 29 days ago 23 Apr 18, 7:02pm -
  • JIM ROGERS EXCLUSIVE: Sub $1000 Gold Coming
    in 2008, gold and silver comex price did crash. silver went to $9. in a stock market crash, liquidity crisis, traders sell whatever they have, to meet a margin call. it can happen again.Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $6…
    - 53 days ago 30 Mar 18, 8:36pm -
  • JIM ROGERS - 27 Feb 2018 - We'll See If Goldman Sachs Survives The Next Crisis!
    JIM ROGERS - 27 Feb 2018 - We'll See If Goldman Sachs Survives The Next Crisis!Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a mu…
    - 83 days ago 28 Feb 18, 2:31am -
  • JIM ROGERS - 19 Feb 2018 - Money Will Be On The Internet, Has Gold Bottomed?
    JIM ROGERS - 19 Feb 2018 - Money Will Be On The Internet, Has Gold Bottomed?Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a multi mil…
    - 91 days ago 20 Feb 18, 2:38pm -
  • Jim Rogers: I Have Never Seen Anything Like Bitcoin
     Famed investor and best-selling author Jim Rogers says that he has seen a lot of bubbles in his career, but that Bitcoin is in a league of its own."There have been plenty of bubbles I have seen in my life but this one is a little strange, beca…
    - 21 Dec 17, 9:56pm -
  • Jim Rogers: Bitcoin is just another Investment Bubble
     Source : MarketwatchAt 75, veteran investor Jim Rogers remains as sharp and feisty as he was two decades ago when I first met him at Columbia Business School. More importantly for investors in search of ideas — he’s just as opinionated. Li…
    - 24 Nov 17, 3:21pm -
  • Jim Rogers -- People's Bank of Taiwan makes sense
    Public Financial Channel trump card show "pretentious" earlier invited to the world-class figures - the legendary investment guru Jim Rogers (Jim Rogers) drove, and veteran actress Liu Yu 葳 (葳 葳) talk about stocks, on gold, life . Rogers will r…
    - 24 Nov 17, 12:02am -
  • JIM ROGERS Stocks Fall as Energy Companies Slide with Oil Prices,Tech Weighs
    JIM ROGERS Stocks Fall as Energy Companies Slide with Oil Prices,Tech WeighsJim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a mu…
    - 19 Nov 17, 9:45pm -
  • Jim Rogers : The Population Bomb
    Investment legend and global financial commentator Jim Rogers will provide a keynote address entitled ‘The Population Bomb: Migration, Global Population, and Environmental Trends, and What They Mean for Asia’, which will highlight some of the key…
    - 15 Nov 17, 4:20pm -

of two minds

  • newOur Economy Is Failing Our Society

    - 21 hours ago 21 May 18, 2:48pm -
  • Sustainability Boils Down to Scale
    Only small scale systems can sustainably impose "skin in the game"-- consequences, accountability and oversight.Several conversations I had at the recent Peak Prosperity conference in Sonoma, CA sparked an insight into why societies and economies th…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 3:05am -
  • U.S. Healthcare Isn't Broken--It's Fixed
    Healthcare/sickcare will bankrupt the nation by itself.If you want to understand why the U.S. healthcare system is bankrupt, financially, morally and politically, then start with this representative anecdote from a U.S. physician. I received this re…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 3:32am -
  • A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to Market Complacency / Euphoria
    Fortunately for Bulls, none of this matters.A relatively reliable measure of complacency/euphoria in the stock market just hit levels last seen in late January, just before stocks reversed in a massive meltdown, surprising all the complacent/euphori…
    - 9 days ago 13 May 18, 5:57pm -
  • How Safe Are We? Our Blindness to Systemic Dangers
    How do we explain our obsession with relatively low risk dangers and our collective blindness to manufactured/marketed scourges that kill tens of thousands of people annually?If you've bought a new vehicle recently, you may have noticed some "safety…
    - 11 days ago 11 May 18, 2:54am -
  • Before You Tell Me What You "Know," Tell Me Your Sources
    We can no longer trust data and conclusions being published as impartial by institutions that were once trustworthy.When someone says they "know" what's happening on the ground in Syria, how can we assess the validity of their claim to knowledge, i.…
    - 13 days ago 9 May 18, 2:12pm -
  • Kafka's Nightmare Emerges: China's "Social Credit Score"
    China is creating Kafka's nightmare world as the perfection of centralized control of its citizenry.China is rapidly building out a Total Surveillance State on a scale that far surpasses any government surveillance program in the West. The scope of…
    - 15 days ago 7 May 18, 3:53am -
  • Taking the Pulse of a Weakening Economy
    Corporate buybacks provide the key analogy for the economy as a whole.Central banks have been running a grand experiment for 9 years, and now we're about to find out if it succeeds or fails. For 9 unprecedented years, central banks have pushed the p…
    - 18 days ago 4 May 18, 2:33am -
  • What Lies Beyond Capitalism and Socialism?
    The status quo, in all its various forms, is dominated by incentives that strengthen the centralization of wealth and power.As longtime readers know, my work aims to 1) explain why the status quo -- the socio-economic-political system we inhabit --…
    - 20 days ago 2 May 18, 2:50am -
  • The Cosby Status Quo: A Facade of Wholesomeness Masks Feudal Exploitation
    In America's feudal society/economy, there are two systems of "justice".The conviction of Bill Cosby for sexual exploitation/assault serves as a useful metaphor for our entire status quo, which projects a wholesome PR facade (free market capitalism,…
    - 23 days ago 29 Apr 18, 11:20pm -

The Big Picture

  • newFacebook Begins Releasing Data About Fake Posts & Accounts
    Facebook is starting to recognize its “fake posts” problem. Here is Recode: Facebook disabled nearly 1.3 billion “fake” accounts over the past two quarters, many of them bots “with the intent of spreading spam or conducting illicit activiti…
    - 55 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:30am -
  • newAlgos all go?
    Algos all go? Francis Breedon, Louisa Chen, Angelo Ranaldo and Nicholas Vause Bank Underground, 02 May 2018       Most academic studies find that algorithmic trading improves the quality of financial markets in normal times by boosting mar…
    - 2 hours ago 22 May 18, 9:00am -
  • newSpecial Investigation Timelines, 1973-Present
    Share this with the next person who complains the Mueller investigation is taking too long . . .     How Mueller’s First Year Compares To other special counsel investigations Source: fivethirtyeight    The post Special Investigation Timelines,…
    - 13 hours ago 21 May 18, 10:00pm -
  • newAdvice for Pension Funds and Endowments
    How Public Pensions Can Start Healing Themselves A series of questions and answers can help. Bloomberg, May 21, 2018     Our discussion last week about representatives of the League of California Cities urging the CalPERS, the state’s huge pensio…
    - 17 hours ago 21 May 18, 6:00pm -
  • newWho’s A Firearms Industry Employee?
    @TBPInvictus here: Conservative commentator S.E. Cupp recently made what I thought was a fairly bold claim on Twitter: The firearms industry has created 91,000 jobs over the past 5 years. That’s people, not profits. — S.E.…
    - 22 hours ago 21 May 18, 1:00pm -
  • new10 Monday AM Reads
    My morning train reads: • Actually, the 1 Percent Are Still The Problem (Slate) • Fake Facebook accounts and online lies multiply in hours after Santa Fe school shooting (Washington Post) • New Amazon Channels Data Shows Why Apple Wants to…
    - 23 hours ago 21 May 18, 12:23pm -
  • Is Google an (illegal) Monopoly?

    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 10:30am -
  • The Rise of Shale Oil
    The Rise of Shale Oil Michael T. Owyang and Hannah G. Shell St Louis Fed, Tuesday, May 15, 2018.         Technological advances that allow oil producers to extract crude oil from shale rock formations have reshaped the landscape of U.S. oil produ…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 9:00am -
  • Conversation: Alan Zweibel & Martin Short
    I recently saw a show where Aztec Two-Step did the songbook of Simon & Garfunkel (see the $6 The Best of Simon & Garfunkel for the songbook). More than just music, it was narrated by WCWP DJ Tony Traguardo, based on the book Simon and Garfunkel’s…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 10:00pm -
  • Transcript: Steve Murray, Revolution Growth
      The transcript from this week’s MIB: Steve Murray, Revolution Growth is below. You can stream/download the full conversation, including the podcast extras on iTunes, Bloomberg, Overcast, and Soundcloud. Our earlier podcasts can all be found…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 4:00pm -

Jesse's Cafe Americain

Angry Bear

  • newIs the Job Guarantee a Ponzi Scheme?
    “The basic idea is that the government can’t run out of money. It creates money just by spending.” — Stephanie Kelton This is true. Government cannot run out of its own money. But what is money? It is a token or pledge that can be redeemed fo…
    - 14 hours ago 21 May 18, 9:24pm -
  • newDownsizing
    Dan here….Downsizing the home when retiring? How is that done? Anecdotal evidence in the Boston area reveals to me several reasons why downsizing is only a small percentage of the housing market:  Aside from being able to handle maintenance to a l…
    - 15 hours ago 21 May 18, 8:41pm -
  • Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: GUARANTEED! — May 20 update
    Class war? What class war? Stephanie Kelton Has The Biggest Idea In Washington  “Everybody wants a piece of Kelton these days because a simple, radical idea she has been workshopping her entire career is the next big thing in Democratic Party pol…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 5:48am -
  • Jobs, Jobs, Jobs — GUARANTEED!
    The current mania for “job guarantee” policies is making the Sandwichman anxious. I’ve been on the full employment beat for over 20 years so I think I have a pretty good grasp of the terrain. First principle is that there are no panaceas. My fa…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 7:55pm -
  • A Guide to the (Financial) Universe: Part III
    by Joseph Joyce A Guide to the (Financial) Universe: Part III Parts I and II of this Guide appear here and here. 4.      Stability and Growth Is the global financial system safer a decade after the last crisis? The response to the crisis by cen…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 4:48pm -
  • Trump to ban Title X federal funding of Planned Parenthood Clinics regardless of whether they Do Abortions or Not
    “The Trump administration wants to effectively pull Title X funding from family planning clinics providing abortion services” as reported in Modern Healthcare. Planned Parenthood while offering other healthcare services would not receive federal…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 10:00pm -
  • The percentage of employees who don’t get wage raises; is the Taboo undergoing an “extinction burst”?
    The percentage of employees who don’t get wage raises; is the Taboo undergoing an “extinction burst”? I came across the below graph yesterday from the Kansas City Fed. It’s pretty shocking: It represents “wage rigidity.” In english, that…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 2:32pm -
  • Open thread May 18, 2018

    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 1:25pm -
  • Sister Survivors
    The Detroit News story, January 2018 “What MSU Knew” details when the abuse started. For twenty years, the female athletes who engaged in the Michigan State Gymnastics program complained of Dr. Larry Nassar to university representatives. MSU Pres…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 11:44am -
  • Intercompany Guarantee Fees and Trump’s Lido City Loan
    Intercompany Guarantee Fees and Trump’s Lido City Loan Matthew Yglesias notes: Trump stands to gain from an Indonesian project that got a $500 million loan right before he flip-flopped on ZTE… But it also happened the same week a Chinese state-o…
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 11:06am -

The Burning Platform

  • newCan a Pope Change Moral Truth?
    Guest Post by Patrick J. Buchanan That joking retort we heard as children, “Is the pope Catholic?” is starting to look like a serious question. Asked five years ago about a “gay lobby” in the Vatican, Pope Francis responded, “If a person is…
    - 35 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:50am -
  • newTrump Meeting With Rosenstein, Wray On Spying Concludes: Congress To See All “Highly Classified” Information
    Via As previewed earlier, on Monday afternoon president Trump met with Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, FBI Director Chris Wray and the Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats, in a discussion of the latest developments in th…
    - 47 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:38am -
    Guest post by Chateau Heartiste What do you get when you resettle Somalis into America? Americans? I’m afraid not. You get what you started with. Somalis. Acting like Somalis. Local news link: For five months, Fox 9 has been investigating what appe…
    - 49 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:36am -
  • newTHIS DAY IN HISTORY – Controversial documentary Fahrenheit 9/11 wins Palme d’Or – 2004
    Via On this day in 2004, Michael Moore’s documentary film Fahrenheit 9/11 beats out 18 other films to win the coveted Palme d’Or, the top prize at the Cannes Film Festival. It became the first documentary to triumph at Cannes since Th…
    - 50 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:35am -
  • newWATERGATE X 10
    Via Branco
    - 55 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:30am -
      “As a general rule, most “regrets” after one is caught’s aren’t regrets about having committed the action, but regrets about having been caught. Apologies count only when they are spontaneous, coming out of deep principles. Otherwise the…
    - 59 mins ago 22 May 18, 10:26am -
    Frame Game Radio, a Jewish NYC corporate lawyer, is brilliant at exposing the Diversity Industry. His deconstruction of the narrative is his forte. Here is his take on the Starbucks incident:
    - 1 hour ago 22 May 18, 10:18am -
  • newSurvival Notes: Educating the Unprepared and Uninformed…It’s Exhausting
    Via Survival Sullivan This week on our survival homestead was a lot like many others. We worked our paying jobs, we worked the land, spent some quality time with our tribe – and went to bed exhausted. The multitude of manual labor hours we put into…
    - 11 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:58pm -
    Type 'European People History' into Google and this is what you get… — Mark Collett (@MarkACollett) May 21, 2018
    - 11 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:58pm -
  • newCredit-Driven Train Crash, Part 2
    Authored by John Mauldin via, Today we will summarize something I’ve been thinking about for a long time. Exactly how will we get from the credit crisis, which I think is coming in the next 12–18 months, to what I call the Gr…
    - 11 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:57pm -

Silicon Valley Insider

The Wire

War Room

Naked Capitalism

Coyote Blog

Washington's Blog

  • newOur Economy Is Failing Our Society

    Our Economy Is Failing Our Society

    One of the most unrecognized dynamics of our era is the structural dependence of our society on our economy. One set of pundits, politicos and academics wring their hands over the fragmenting of civil society (the rise of disintegrative, divisive…
    - 12 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:19pm -
  • How can America’s evangelical Christians who favor Trump justify themselves?

    How can America’s evangelical Christians who favor Trump justify themselves?

    Eric Zuesse, originally posted at the Greanville Post One of the perhaps half-dozen honest news-sites, the Greanville Post, ran this news-commentary from Jason Holland, on May 17th, opening: May 14th was quite a day for the empire, the … show … C…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 8:17pm -
  • Sustainability Boils Down to Scale

    Sustainability Boils Down to Scale

    Several conversations I had at the recent Peak Prosperity conference in Sonoma, CA sparked an insight into why societies and economies thrive or fail: It All Boils Down to Scale. In a conversation with a Peak Prosperity member who goes by MemeMonke…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 12:39am -
  • How Democracy Ended
    Eric Zuesse, originally posted at What killed democracy was constant lying to the public, by politicians whose only way to win national public office has been to represent the interests of the super-rich at the same time as publ…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 12:07pm -
  • Europe: National Sovereignty versus International Conquest, at Stake over Iran
    Eric Zuesse, originally posted at Europe now faces its ultimate ideological fork-in-the-road, which it has thus far ignored but can no longer ignore: They need to decide whether they seek a world of nations that each is sovereig…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 3:19am -
  • Taxpayer-Funded Mercenaries Serving Both U.S. & Foreign Aristocracies
    Eric Zuesse The U.S. military is by far the most-respected of all institutions in America. But the U.S. military of today is actually not only the most corrupt but also the worst of America’s institutions. It’s the worst because it … Continue r…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 11:22pm -
  • Tim Kaine’s War Scam Hits a Speed Bump
    Virginia ought to be in the running for worst U.S. senators in the country, a couple of walking catastrophes empowered in part by their status as Democrats and, in one case, the status of rightful Vice President if not for … Continue reading →
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 2:59pm -
  • War Is Love

    War Is Love

    Photo by Truthdig. On Monday I was arrested along with many other people in the street in front of the U.S. Capitol, participating in the new Poor People’s Campaign, the first multi-issue coalition we’ve seen in years that properly takes … Cont…
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 5:19pm -
  • Israel, Ukraine, and U.S., Crack Down Against Press
    Eric Zuesse On Wednesday, May 16th, Russian Television reported recent crackdowns against the press, on the part of both Ukraine’s Government and Israel’s Government. One headline story, “9 journalists injured by Israeli gunfire in Gaza ‘mass…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 10:45pm -
  • Israeli Settler Colonialism and Occupation Fact Sheet
    Israeli Settler-Colonialism “For eight years now, they sit in their refugee camps in Gaza, and before their eyes we turn into our homestead the land and villages in which they and their forefathers have lived.” “We are a generation of … Conti…
    - 6 days ago 16 May 18, 10:17pm -

Deal Breaker

Deal Book

Dr. Housing Bubble

Gonzalo Lira

  • Moral Normcore
    “Normcore” is a label for the current fashion trend of wearing undistinctive, unremarkable clothing—but the word itself is exploding across the American zeitgeist. Somehow, people sense that the word describes more than just fashion. I agree: T…
    - 20 May 14, 4:48pm -
  • Only In America, Part I
    The New York Times has a front-page story about how Federal prosecutors are getting tough on the banksters. The headline: “Long Seen As Immune, Two Wall Street Banks Become Targets”. But look closer. The two “targets” of government prosecutor…
    - 30 Apr 14, 10:05pm -
  • The Twitter In The Coalmine: The End of Asset Price Inflation?
    Poor dead Twitter-bird . . .So Twitter (TWTR) released some user figures, and they are not good. Bottom line, they’re losing money, and their user-base is shrinking—which is why their stock took an 11% tumble in after-hours trading as I write the…
    - 30 Apr 14, 5:46am -
  • A Chinese Shadow Bank Bailout May Mean A Crash In U.S. Treasury Bonds
    This article is adapted from a post which originally appeared at my Strategic Planning Group. Go to the preview page to see what it’s about.China’s economy in 2014 is remarkably similar to America’s in 2008: Both were fueled by real estate spec…
    - 21 Mar 14, 5:52pm -
  • The Trouble with IRA’s and 401(k)’s
    Last week, The Daily Reckoning ranked me Number 5 on their list of “The 50 Best Investing Blogs”. All I have to say is, Thanks!Individual retirement accounts seem like the answer to a lot of people’s prayers. Every month, you deposit a set amou…
    - 12 Feb 14, 2:22pm -
  • Why America Breaks Our Hearts
    A man named LK dropped me an e-mail, in response to my Falling Forward piece.In the piece, I discussed the inability of the United States to adjust after the end of the Cold War. My crazed ramblings garnered a great deal of reaction, both positive a…
    - 10 Jan 14, 1:21pm -
  • The Fed Is Playing Global Pump-and-Dump

    - 6 Jan 14, 2:07pm -
  • The Hypocrisy That Hope Bought
    Obama, Obama, Obama . . . you’re such a liar. Please visit Gonzalo Lira's Strategic Planning Group
    - 23 Dec 13, 6:59pm -
  • Profits Über Alles?
    Neoliberal economics has been a wonderful driving force for progress and material prosperity—but it cannot be the single ruling principle of our lives, of our government, or of our society. If we allow the profit motive to be the only motive, then…
    - 18 Dec 13, 8:01pm -
  • What If There’s A Recession in 2014?
    If policymakers were gunfighters, they’d be out of bullets: They have run out of effective policy tools to improve the economy. So the question is simple: If there is a recession in 2014, and policymakers are out of bullets, how will it play out a…
    - 16 Dec 13, 10:05pm -

Marc to Market

  • newIs Turnaround Tuesday Nearly Over Already?
    Corrective forces that took hold in the foreign exchange market yesterday extended their hold today.  However, a cent bounce from yesterday's lows has seen new sales of euro and sterling emerge, and the greenback found bids below JPY111.00.  There…
    - 1 hour ago 22 May 18, 10:10am -
  • newThe Threat of the Mini-BoT
    Investors are having a fit.  For the first two months after the early March Italian elections, investors could hardly care less.  Italy's premium over Germany to borrow money for a decade fell to a two-year low in late April near 132 bp.  In the l…
    - 12 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:01pm -
  • newGreat Graphic: Euro-Swiss Shows Elevated Systemic Risk
    The Swiss National Bank's decision in January 2015 to remove the cap on the Swiss franc (floor on the euro) that it has set at CHF1.20 is seared into the memory of a generation of foreign exchange participants.  It is not exactly clear where the eur…
    - 22 hours ago 21 May 18, 1:43pm -
  • Market Response to De-escalation of Sino-American Trade Tensions: Meh
    There have been two major developments over the weekend.  First, the US and China appear to have struck an agreement in principle that will reduce the bilateral imbalance.  The precise details have yet to be worked out, but the progress has been su…
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 10:33am -
  • Emerging Markets: Week Ahead Preview
    (from my colleague Dr. Win Thin)EM FX ended Friday on a weak note and extended the slide. For the week as a whole, the best EM performers were PHP, TWD, and SGD while the worst were ARS, ZAR, and TRY.  With US rates continuing to move higher, we…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 7:31pm -
  • Dollar Power
    There are several trends in the capital markets at a high-level.  The euro and yen's decline has coincided with sustained rallies in European and Japanese equity benchmarks.  Emerging market equities and currencies have been trending lower. There…
    - 2 days ago 20 May 18, 11:43am -
  • Dollar Surge Continues
    The US dollar is experiencing a powerful surge.  It is a function of rising US rates and gradually growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may hike rates three more times this year, rather than the two that the median Fed forecast (March dot plo…
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 11:30am -
  • Emerging Markets: What Changed
    (from my colleague Dr. Win Thin) · Bank Indonesia started a tightening cycle with a 25 bp hike to 4.5%.·  Jailed Malaysia opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim was released by new Prime Minister Mahathir.· Malaysia scrapped the controversial 6% good…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 6:12pm -
  • Markets are Uninspired Ahead of the Weekend
    The US dollar is mostly firmer.  US yields have stabilized.  Asian equities were mostly higher, while European bourses are struggling.  Oil prices are steady. There have been a number of sustained trends in the markets that we have been monitorin…
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 10:17am -
  • Afta NAFTA
    Given the US decision to pull out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, it was inevitable that the North American Free Trade Agreement would have to be re-opened.  The Obama Administration had anticipated that the TPP would have modernized th…
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 6:23pm -

China Financial Markets

  • China: Choosing More Debt, More Unemployment, Or Transfers
    I have often written in this blog and elsewhere about the three policy choices Beijing faces as it tries to manage through the adjustment process. My argument is that subject to two very plausible assumptions, every economic policy Beijing implements…
    - 18 Nov 16, 1:23pm -
  • The impact in China and abroad of slowing growth
    This blog entry is largely something I wrote a year ago about the impact of a Chinese rebalancing on the global economy, rx and except for this first paragraph nothing has been changed. The entry on my blog that had been posted a couple of weeks earl…
    - 30 Sep 16, 12:00pm -
  • Does it matter if China cleans up its banks?
    I’ve always thought that Shirley Yam of the South China Morning Post has a great nose for financial risk, and this shows in an article she published last week on mainland real estate. For anyone knowledgeable about the history of financial bubbles…
    - 31 Aug 16, 12:59pm -
  • Rebalancing, wealth transfers, and the growth of Chinese debt
    For the past ten years much of what I have written about debt in China was aimed mainly at trying to convince analysts and policymakers that the Chinese economy was structurally dependent on an unsustainable increase in debt in order to generate GDP…
    - 22 Jun 16, 9:58am -
  • How Much Investment is Optimal
    A few years ago I wrote an essay on my blog that received a lot of attention and in which I tried to explain what the underlying assumption was for analysts who considered that China’s low level of investment relative to that of, troche say, help t…
    - 2 Jun 16, 5:19am -
  • The titillating and terrifying collapse of the dollar. Again.
    Foreign perceptions about the Chinese economy are far more volatile than the economy itself, and are spread across a fantastic array of forecasts. On one extreme there are still many who hold the view that overwhelmingly dominated the consensus just…
    - 8 May 16, 9:08am -
  • The re-emergence of the Jacksonians
    We’ve pelted Donald Trump with all the withering humor we can muster, malady and even though it is hard to imagine an easier target for elitist humor, pharm with his blustering narcissism, prescription his intellectual inconsistency, his questionab…
    - 23 Mar 16, 4:35am -
  • Will China’s new “supply-side” reforms help China?
    It wasn’t enough that we started 2016 with one of the worst weeks in the recent history of Chinese and global markets, but the panic continued into the following weeks and wreaked a great deal of damage to confidence. A lot of the reflexive China b…
    - 25 Jan 16, 3:33am -
  • China’s rebalancing timetable
    We often read in the press rather alarming stories about the rise of an ugly and belligerent nationalism in China, buy cialis but while these stories are certainly very real, sovaldi after the November 13 bombings in Paris I was struck by a very diff…
    - 29 Nov 15, 2:45pm -
  • Thin Air’s money isn’t created out of thin air
    A recurring conversation I have with clients concerns the ability of banks to create credit, buy and of governments to monetize debt, pilule and whether this ability is the solution to or the cause of financial instability and economic crisis. Moneta…
    - 19 Oct 15, 4:00am -

Business Insider Video

The Reformed Broker

  • newQOTD: How Politicians Use Economics
    What if, instead of a Universal Basic Income, we talked about a universal jobs guarantee?...
    - 12 hours ago 21 May 18, 11:00pm -
  • newClips From Today’s Halftime Report
     Big caps battle it out as trade tensions ease from CNBC. Bulls bet big on two key tech names. Plus, more buying in financials from CNBC. Snap, Starbucks, and more in the blitz from CNBC. Apple, Amtrust, and Intel from CNBC....
    - 13 hours ago 21 May 18, 10:30pm -
  • newWe don’t publish lists of all the planes that land every day
    - 21 hours ago 21 May 18, 2:29pm -
  • newThe only blog post I’ll ever bookmark
    Inspired by James O’Shaughnessy’s GOAT Thread last week, legendary investing columnist Jason Zweig went about cataloging all of his greatest writings for a new blog post. As soon as I saw what it was, I immediately bookmarked it. Then it occurred…
    - 22 hours ago 21 May 18, 1:43pm -
  • Impeachment Fantasies
    It's going to be very sad when the large percentage of Americans who believe in the premise of the SNL take realize that the Maher take is a more accurate assessment...
    - 1 day ago 21 May 18, 10:25am -
  • This Week on TRB
    These were the most read posts on the site this week, in case you missed it:...
    - 3 days ago 19 May 18, 12:14pm -
  • Clips From Today’s Halftime Report
    Cowen’s big call on chip stocks from CNBC. Energy on pace for 6th week of gains from CNBC. Paypal and 3 industrial winners in the trader blitz from CNBC. Qualcomm, Nike, Express Scripts & which sector to bet against from CNBC....
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 10:30pm -
  • Three Uncelebrated Edges
    "You are the second richest man in the world and yet you have the simplest investment thesis. How come others didn’t follow this?”...
    - 4 days ago 18 May 18, 12:12pm -
  • What Are Your Thoughts: Chart Crimes
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 6:00pm -
  • Endless work and I love it.
    It's like owning a glass factory and watching the neighborhood kids get their first slingshots....
    - 5 days ago 17 May 18, 2:51pm -

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